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$GCDT -30.77% — what the base rate says

$GCDT -30.77% — what the base rate says

Oddity Tech ($ODD) rips 32% on a genuine Q2 beat, proving actual earnings occasionally happen on Wall Street.

On the other side of the tape, The OLB Group ($OLB) is up 43.6% on a $6M market cap with zero news—unless you count a month-old press release about AI-assisted coding. When low-float micro-caps gap up 30% or more without a fresh headline, the historical base rate across 2,796 instances shows they close red 70% of the time, dropping a median 10.8% intraday.

Chasing ghost momentum isn't a strategy; it's a donation to whoever got in at dawn.

What the data showed

  • $GCDT -30.77% Green Circle Decarbonize Technology Limited · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=971) mcap $10M · float 4M shares
  • $TYRA -29.63% Tyra Biosciences, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=206) mcap $1.7B · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $CRMT -24.90% America's Car-Mart, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=206) mcap $21M · float 7M shares · sector: RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS
  • $GOSS -20.51% Gossamer Bio, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,435) mcap $86M · float 515M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $TTAN -19.26% ServiceTitan, Inc. · closed red 51% · green 48% (n=379) mcap $8.4B · float 56M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $NNOX -18.63% Nano-X Imaging Ltd. · closed red 51% · green 48% (n=379) mcap $113M · float 72M shares
  • $UZX -16.38% Linkage Global Inc · closed red 51% · green 48% (n=379) mcap $8M · float 58M shares
  • $WYHG -15.65% Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,108) mcap $51M · float 590,000 shares
  • $TBBK -14.69% The Bancorp, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=7,993) mcap $2.7B · sector: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
  • $LHSW -14.39% Lianhe Sowell International Group Ltd · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=5,069) mcap $11M · float 1M shares

Pull the historical sample on FILTRIX.net before you chase a low-float gap. Base rates reveal the odds long before the hype burns out. Discipline > FOMO

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