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$CECO — what the base rate says

$CECO — what the base rate says

A company whose sector line is industrial fans, blowers and air purifying equipment is the largest market cap on this morning's gap list, and it is up 38% on what it moves for a living.

$CECO filed an 8-K before the bell, Item 2.02, results of operations, press release attached as the exhibit. That is a real catalyst: a quarter that already happened, written down by the people who counted it. It is also the only part of this headline that is finished.

The 38% is not finished. It is a pre-bell bid on a 30-million-share float, set by whoever was awake. Cross-stock history on earnings-morning opening gap-ups of 30% or more, 122 prior sessions at $1 and up, closed above the open 31% of the time, median open-to-close -3.04%. That is the sample, not CECO's odds; CECO's own gap history is two sessions, which is an anecdote.

What the blowers earned last quarter is in the exhibit. What a 38% pre-bell bid is worth gets settled by the people who arrive at 9:30, and most of them have not opened the exhibit yet.

What the data showed

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  • $VISN -24.11% Vistance Networks, Inc. mcap $1.3B · float 214M shares · sector: RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
  • $PARA -23.41% Parabolic Technologies, Inc. mcap $59,666 · float 4M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
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  • $PLUT -22.44% Plutus Financial Group Limited mcap $39M
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