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$CREG -56.79% — what the base rate says

$CREG -56.79% — what the base rate says

When a $35M oil services micro-cap like $RCON gaps up 34% on absolutely zero news, the standard retail reaction is to invent a narrative.

But the data doesn't care about the story. In 13 prior days where $RCON saw similar gap-ups, the stock eventually closed red in 85% of those cases, with a median intraday return of -6.41%.

Flip side: $CREG collapsed 56% post-close on no news, proving that liquidity in these micro-caps is a revolving door that locks from the outside.

Close the laptop and review your journal.

What the data showed

  • $CREG -56.79% Smart Powerr Corp. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=865) mcap $4M · float 26M shares · sector: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
  • $ZYBT -47.19% Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited · closed red 62% · green 37% (n=641) mcap $47M · float 4M shares
  • $LBGJ -31.62% Li Bang International Corporation Inc. · closed red 62% · green 37% (n=641) mcap $3M · float 2M shares
  • $CLDI -27.16% Calidi Biotherapeutics, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $2M · float 19M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
  • $CDTG -19.36% CDT Environmental Technology Investment Holdings Limited · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,301) mcap $4M · float 6M shares
  • $BNRG -15.31% Brenmiller Energy Ltd · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,301) mcap $1M · float 510,000 shares
  • $CALX -15.25% Calix, Inc. · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $2.5B · float 60M shares · sector: COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC
  • $NVVE -13.88% Nuvve Holding Corp. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $4M · float 5M shares · sector: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
  • $YOUL -13.18% Youlife Group Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $71M · float 65M shares
  • $KNDI -12.45% Kandi Technologies Group, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $66M · float 70M shares

Before you chase the next after-hours micro-cap runner, run the historical odds on FILTRIX.net. Spot the traps before they lock you in. Discipline > FOMO

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