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$JZ -24.70% — what the base rate says

$JZ -24.70% — what the base rate says

The Thursday evening tape is handing out hard lessons. $HOWL rips +85.7% into the post-close session on zero news, drawing retail straight into the glow. Across 2,881 historical instances of no-news gap-ups over 30%, the base rate is brutal: the setup closes red 65% of the time with a median intraday fade of -6.8%.

Flip side: real numbers hit the tape and reality sets in. $FLUX drops -19.5% following its fiscal Q4 earnings release, while $OSIS slides -13.1% on its own report despite tossing an expanded buyback into the PR.

Are you chasing ghost volume after the bell, or waiting for proven base rates?

What the data showed

  • $JZ -24.70% Jianzhi Education Technology Group Company Limited · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $35M · float 7M shares
  • $FLUX -19.46% Flux Power Holdings, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=323) mcap $14M · float 17M shares · sector: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
  • $YOUL -16.85% Youlife Group Inc. · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $71M · float 65M shares
  • $ZSTK -13.58% ZeroStack Corp. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $34M · sector: WHOLESALE-DRUGS, PROPRIETARIES & DRUGGISTS' SUNDRIES
  • $OSIS -13.06% OSI Systems, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=618) mcap $3.8B · float 16M shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $EZGO -13.04% EZGO Technologies Ltd. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $835,390 · float 2M shares
  • $INTJ -11.31% Intelligent Group Limited · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $16M · float 2M shares
  • $OMH -10.29% Ohmyhome Limited · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $22M · float 25M shares
  • $AUID -9.52% authID Inc. mcap $7M · float 16M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $WYHG -9.11% Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited float 2M shares

Pull the historical sample on FILTRIX.net before stepping into thin after-hours tape. Know whether a gap tends to hold or fade before allocating capital. Discipline > FOMO

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