First, our promised grade from June 15: $PAVS opened at 0.4736 and closed down 60% at 0.1899. Own the data, track the results.
Now look at $SNBR. A tiny $5M cap household furniture stock up 176% on absolute silence. This fits a highly documented trap.
Across 2,411 historical cases of no-news gap-ups on low-float stocks, the setup closes red 70% of the time. The median intraday return is -10.49%.
On the other side, $ICCM is up 267% on a real commercial expansion catalyst—but even catalyst-driven gap-ups of this scale close red 65% of the time out of 2,881 similar setups.
Historical odds are not a secret; they are just ignored by chasers.