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$PRFX -23.70% — what the base rate says

$PRFX -23.70% — what the base rate says

Let's talk about the retail dilution tax. $PAVS is a $1M market cap company. Today, they announced a $10M direct offering at $0.20 per share.

Read that again. A company worth $1M is printing $10 million worth of new paper, yet the stock closed up 10.59% in the after-hours.

Historical base rates for catalyst-driven micro-cap gap-ups show a 59% fade-to-red rate across 11,458 instances.

Filtrix forward call: $PAVS's massive dilution will trade below today's offering price within three sessions. We'll grade the receipts here.

What the data showed

  • $PRFX -23.70% PRF Technologies Ltd. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $2M · float 830,000 shares
  • $WLDS -17.84% Wearable Devices Ltd. · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $7M · float 6M shares
  • $MEHA -15.43% Functional Brands Inc. · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $2M · float 37M shares · sector: MEDICINAL CHEMICALS & BOTANICAL PRODUCTS
  • $WTO -12.54% UTime Limited · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $2M · float 2M shares
  • $FBGL -11.18% FBS Global Limited · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $8M · float 4M shares
  • $CAST -10.67% FreeCast, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $64M · float 15M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
  • $VSME -9.54% VS MEDIA Holdings Limited mcap $3M · float 1M shares
  • $YXT -9.02% YXT.COM Group Holding Limited float 18M shares
  • $ALVO -8.96% Alvotech mcap $1.1B · float 38M shares
  • $FWDI -8.92% Forward Industries, Inc. float 77M shares

Don't guess how the market reacts to massive dilution or buzzword PRs. Run the historical probabilities on FILTRIX.net before risking your capital. Discipline > FOMO

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