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$SHOT -24.79% — what the base rate says

$SHOT -24.79% — what the base rate says

Before the data, the receipt: yesterday's $PAVS call opened at 0.4736 and collapsed 60% to close at 0.1899. Receipts are the only currency that matters.

Now, let's trace the lifecycle of a modern buzzword pump. $MYSE is up 15% on news that they signed a non-binding Letter of Intent to build 'AI-powered social media content moderation' tools.

Translation: two micro-cap companies signed a piece of paper agreeing to think about building a chatbot together. No revenue, no contract, just the word 'AI' injected directly into the PR feed to find exit liquidity. Across 7,131 historical instances of catalyst-driven gap-ups like this, the typical setup closes red 60% of the time.

What's your rule for trading non-binding LOIs?

What the data showed

  • $SHOT -24.79% RMG ML Sports Holdings · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) float 52M shares
  • $OBAI -20.26% Our Bond, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $13M · float 14M shares · sector: COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC
  • $ADTX -16.51% Aditxt, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,301) mcap $10,362 · float 820,000 shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $TRNR -15.26% Interactive Strength Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=323) mcap $1M · float 2M shares · sector: ELECTRONIC & OTHER ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT (NO COMPUTER EQUIP)
  • $HSIC -14.35% Henry Schein, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $9.3B · float 128M shares · sector: WHOLESALE-MEDICAL, DENTAL & HOSPITAL EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
  • $CRVO -13.94% CervoMed Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $23M · float 4M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $ZNB -13.51% Zeta Network Group · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $3M · float 2M shares
  • $NTHI -12.93% NeOnc Technologies Holdings, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903)
  • $NMRA -10.26% Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $330M · float 130M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
  • $QH -10.04% Quhuo Limited · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $898,445 · float 700,000 shares

Stop guessing which press releases are real and which ones are pure exit liquidity. Run the historical probabilities on FILTRIX.net before you place your next trade. Discipline > FOMO

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