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$NVEC -24.98% — what the base rate says

$NVEC -24.98% — what the base rate says

The good news and the bad news about NVE Corporation arrived in the same article, in that order.

$NVEC -24.98% pre-market. A takeaways piece this morning puts first-half fiscal 2027 revenue at $16.9 million, up 36% year over year, with distributor sales up 67% and new gear sensors for robotics and factory automation. Then the next part: near-term headwinds in medical and defense.

A growth rate describes road already driven. A gap this size puts a price on the road ahead, and the feed doesn't show which line the sellers are reacting to.

This is cross-stock history, not NVE's odds. In 2,496 past sessions that opened with a gap-down of 20% or more (price $1+), 56% closed below their own open and 43% closed above it. The median open-to-close move was -1.73%. That is a thin lean. It is not a floor and not a bounce signal.

The receipt: yesterday we wrote about which 8-K boxes NVE checked. On that call day it opened 104.17 and closed 103.07.

What the data showed

  • $TWG -26.22% Top Wealth Group Holding Limited mcap $76M · float 12M shares
  • $MERC -25.43% Mercer International Inc. mcap $17M · float 42M shares · sector: PULP MILLS
  • $NVEC -24.98% NVE Corporation mcap $552M · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $POM -24.25% Pomdoctor Limited mcap $18M · float 3M shares
  • $SXTC -23.97% China SXT Pharmaceuticals, Inc. mcap $7M · float 1M shares
  • $WHLR -22.02% Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. mcap $1M · float 567,777 shares · sector: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
  • $YFOR -18.52% YYForce Inc. mcap $5M · float 4M shares
  • $NIVF -17.83% NewGenIvf Group Limited mcap $653,823 · float 19M shares
  • $LEXX -15.83% Lexaria Bioscience Corp. mcap $7M · float 24M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $EVER -14.17% EverQuote, Inc. mcap $683M · float 26M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

Pull the 20%-plus gap-down sample on FILTRIX.net and compare the median close with the open before you call a quarter-off drop a discount. A cheap price and a cheap stock are different findings.

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