$RFAI is floating up +254.2% in pre-market on zero filed news, while $HOWL prints a massive +137.7% move on its merger deal. When a sub-$20M market cap stock gaps over 30% without news, historical base rates across 2,400 similar setups show it closes in the red 70% of the time, shedding a median of -10.5% intraday. Chasers treat morning green bars as confirmation; institutional flow treats them as orderly exit liquidity. 70% close red. That's the post.
$JZ -35.84% — what the base rate says
What the data showed
- $JZ -35.84% mcap $35M · float 7M shares
- $MMA -18.93% mcap $14M · float 22M shares
- $FLUX -17.88% mcap $15M · float 17M shares · sector: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
- $ISPC -17.62% mcap $6M · float 830,000 shares · sector: SERVICES-COMMERCIAL PHYSICAL & BIOLOGICAL RESEARCH
- $RITR -17.22% mcap $31M · float 2M shares
- $OMH -15.58% mcap $22M · float 25M shares
- $SGLY -15.41% mcap $3M · float 4M shares · sector: ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO
- $TWG -14.76% mcap $76M · float 1M shares
- $LGCL -14.70% mcap $71M · float 64M shares
- $HUIZ -14.67% mcap $15M · float 4M shares
Pull the historical sample on FILTRIX.net before chasing early morning biotech spikes into expiration Friday. Discipline > FOMO
Find Your Edge on FILTRIX →