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$TTAN -19.96% — what the base rate says

$TTAN -19.96% — what the base rate says

The opening bell takes your capital during the day; the after-hours tape takes whatever dignity you had left.

Software darling ServiceTitan ($TTAN) posted earnings and immediately cratered 19.96%, proving once again that executive reshuffles and guidance cuts make for expensive bedtime reading. On the other side of the tape, SUNation Energy ($SUNE) pushed 24.47% higher after filing an SEC disclosure.

Retail is already chasing the green candle in illiquid evening trading. The historical tape tells a colder story: across 5,520 similar catalyst-driven gap-ups of 20% or more, the setup fades to red 62% of the time, bleeding a median -4.79% intraday.

Log the numbers, close the terminal, and let the evening order books trade against themselves.

What the data showed

  • $TTAN -19.96% ServiceTitan, Inc. · closed red 51% · green 48% (n=379) mcap $8.4B · float 56M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $MIND -17.38% MIND Technology, Inc. · closed red 51% · green 48% (n=379) mcap $42M · float 9M shares · sector: SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVIGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS
  • $FEED -12.85% ENvue Medical, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=5,069) mcap $4M · float 11M shares · sector: ORTHOPEDIC, PROSTHETIC & SURGICAL APPLIANCES & SUPPLIES
  • $TBBK -10.73% The Bancorp, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=7,993) mcap $2.7B · sector: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
  • $BRZE -10.53% Braze, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=709) mcap $3.6B · float 87M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $LHSW -9.85% Lianhe Sowell International Group Ltd mcap $11M · float 1M shares
  • $CASY -9.75% Casey's General Stores, Inc. mcap $28.0B · float 37M shares · sector: RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS
  • $NUR -9.35% Nuran Wireless Inc. mcap $23M · float 12M shares
  • $IFBD -8.94% Infobird Co., Ltd mcap $8M · float 2M shares
  • $TH -7.16% Target Hospitality Corp. mcap $1.9B · float 50M shares · sector: HOTELS, ROOMING HOUSES, CAMPS & OTHER LODGING PLACES

Pull the historical distribution on FILTRIX.net before chasing post-close gaps into illiquid spreads. The base rate always collects its fee. Discipline > FOMO

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