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$TMDX — what the base rate says

$TMDX — what the base rate says

TransMedics is +20.66% after hours on a $2.3 billion market cap, and the newest article the feed has on it is yesterday evening's reasons-to-retain note, the one listing gross margin down 180 basis points to 59.6%. Nothing dated today. Put #AOSL beside it: +8.60% on an 8-K filed today, Item 2.02, results of operations. Less than half the move, with actual paperwork. $TMDX has the larger number and the emptier folder, in this feed, at this hour.

The company sells the Organ Care System, a box that keeps a donor heart or lung perfused and working outside a body while it travels. Twenty percent with no document attached is the same picture: the thing is obviously alive, and the sheet explaining where it came from is not in the box. Could be a print that has not indexed yet. Could be anything. A move this size on a $2.3 billion device name is not a low-float squeeze, and it is not a reason until the reason is in your hands.

The history worth citing only speaks to opening gaps, which an after-hours tick is not yet. Cross-stock, 5,679 sessions where a stock over a dollar opened up 20% or more: median open-to-close -4.82%, 63% closed below the open, 37% above. TransMedics' own file at that threshold is four days, a story rather than a sample.

The gross-margin line has a date on it. The reason for the twenty percent does not, yet.

What the data showed

  • $CRSR -15.49% Corsair Gaming, Inc. mcap $1.3B · float 46M shares · sector: COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC
  • $ACH -13.59% Accendra Health, Inc. mcap $22M · float 69M shares · sector: WHOLESALE-MEDICAL, DENTAL & HOSPITAL EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
  • $HUBC -13.47% HUB Cyber Security Ltd. mcap $250,000 · float 201,999 shares
  • $OBIO -13.35% Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. mcap $334M · float 41M shares · sector: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
  • $INO -12.46% Inovio Pharmaceuticals, Inc. mcap $172M · float 103M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $BILL -12.31% BILL Holdings, Inc. mcap $4.3B · float 87M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $ZNB -10.73% Zeta Network Group mcap $3M · float 970,000 shares
  • $AXON -10.04% Axon Enterprise, Inc. mcap $33.8B · float 76M shares · sector: ORDNANCE & ACCESSORIES, (NO VEHICLES/GUIDED MISSILES)
  • $ARLO -7.86% Arlo Technologies, Inc. mcap $1.5B · float 103M shares · sector: SERVICES-DETECTIVE, GUARD & ARMORED CAR SERVICES
  • $BDMD -7.59% Baird Medical Investment Holdings Limited mcap $52M · float 9M shares

The cross-stock file of 20%-plus opening gaps is on FILTRIX.net; sort it by what happened between the open and the close before you choose a side of a mystery move.

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