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$LUCY -24.36% — what the base rate says

$LUCY -24.36% — what the base rate says

$SPRC is trading up 14.41% on absolutely zero news. To the untrained eye, it looks like a breakout. To the database, it's a predictable trap.

In our historical backtests of $SPRC gap-up days, the stock has faded to the red 80% of the time. Out of 50 prior instances, the buyers who chased the morning green were left holding the bag in 40 of them. This isn't trading; it's a math problem that retail continues to fail.

Wait for your edge, or pay the tuition fee.

What the data showed

  • $LUCY -24.36% Lucyd, Inc · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $8M · float 5M shares · sector: OPHTHALMIC GOODS
  • $ALHC -15.21% Alignment Healthcare, Inc. · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $5.1B · float 175M shares · sector: HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS
  • $CLRO -14.59% ClearOne, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $19M · float 13M shares · sector: TELEPHONE & TELEGRAPH APPARATUS
  • $INTJ -12.70% Intelligent Group Limited · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $16M · float 2M shares
  • $CPOP -12.57% Pop Culture Group Co., Ltd · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $25M · float 2M shares
  • $TDTH -12.50% Trident Digital Tech Holdings Ltd · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $8M · float 2M shares
  • $ELPW -11.96% Elong Power Holding Limited · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $8M · float 6M shares
  • $LICN -11.38% Lichen International Limited · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $132M · float 780,000 shares
  • $ONFO -11.05% Onfolio Holdings, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $3M · float 4M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
  • $WHLR -11.02% Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $468,439 · float 1M shares · sector: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

Before you chase the next low-float mystery pump, run the numbers on FILTRIX.net. Pull the historical sample and look at the win rate before risking your capital on social media hype. Discipline > FOMO

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