$CRDF premarket Jul 15, 2026

$CRDF -28.62% — what the base rate says

The Boss FILTRIX Market Desk

$ERNA is up 55% pre-market on "complete tumor clearance in ovarian cancer models"—a grand way of saying they had promising results in mice.

Before you market-order the open, let's look at the numbers. On the 12 occasions $ERNA has had a gap-up day of 5% or more, it has faded to close red 67% of the time. The median intraday return is -6.10%.

Across 2,881 similar catalyst-driven gaps in this sector, the stock closes red 65% of the time. Pre-clinical hype is the ultimate retail trap.

Enjoy the pre-market green. History suggests the afternoon belongs to the sellers.

What the data showed

$CRDF -28.62% Cardiff Oncology, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $91M · float 65M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$VIVK -28.22% Vivakor, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $2M · float 2M shares · sector: REFUSE SYSTEMS
$LGHL -24.38% Lion Group Holding Ltd. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $544,804 · float 5M shares
$NXTC -24.01% NextCure, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $7M · float 20M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$PNR -23.49% Pentair plc · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=178) mcap $12.3B · float 162M shares · sector: SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY (NO METALWORKING MACHINERY)
$CNEY -22.67% CN Energy Group. Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $6M · float 8M shares
$BMGL -21.18% Basel Medical Group Ltd · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $14M · float 9M shares
$AEON -14.40% AEON Biopharma, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $13M · float 11M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$RUBI -14.25% Rubico Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=618) mcap $2M · float 8M shares
$PFAI -13.92% Pinnacle Food Group Limited · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903)

Don't trade pre-clinical headlines on hope. Run the historical odds on FILTRIX.net to see how often biotech model data actually holds its morning gains before you enter.

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