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$BMGL -19.21% — what the base rate says

$BMGL -19.21% — what the base rate says

$AEHR reports record quarterly bookings and a $100M backlog, ripping 30.89% after hours in a real fundamental display. On the other side of the tape, retail is busy chasing empty shells like $VTAK (+32.00%) and $XCUR (+31.40%) on absolutely zero news. Across 2,411 historical cases, low-float gap-ups with no news close red 70% of the time. The bid is made of wet tissue paper, but the FOMO crowd is treating it like a generational wealth event. Speculate on the ghosts if you must, but the cash register doesn't pay out on hope. Close the laptop and journal the day.

What the data showed

  • $BMGL -19.21% Basel Medical Group Ltd · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,301) mcap $14M · float 9M shares
  • $VIVK -17.28% Vivakor, Inc. · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $2M · float 2M shares · sector: REFUSE SYSTEMS
  • $LGHL -14.88% Lion Group Holding Ltd. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $544,804 · float 5M shares
  • $BOH -14.35% Bank of Hawaii Corporation · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903)
  • $CNEY -14.03% CN Energy Group. Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $6M · float 8M shares
  • $WNC -12.97% Wabash National Corporation · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $525M · float 48M shares · sector: TRUCK TRAILERS
  • $RDAC -12.54% Rising Dragon Acquisition Corp. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $36M · float 6M shares · sector: BLANK CHECKS
  • $PXED -11.77% Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=618)
  • $NXTC -11.40% NextCure, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $7M · float 20M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $PHOE -11.37% Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $439M · float 6M shares

Before you chase the next low-float mystery gap-up, run the historical odds on FILTRIX.net to see how often they actually close green. Discipline > FOMO

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