A $30M market-cap supplier lands a military contract, and $XOS surges +68% in after-hours trading. Before chasing the late headline alongside $IVF (+37%), look at how this setup behaves once normal market liquidity arrives. Across 2,881 historical cases where a stock gaps up +30% or more on news, the base rate is brutal: 65% fade to red by the next session close, averaging an intraday loss of nearly 7%. History says $XOS gives back most of this evening pop by tomorrow's close — we'll grade it here.
$SNYR -24.79% — what the base rate says
What the data showed
- $SNYR -24.79% float 9M shares
- $UCL -14.71% mcap $43M · float 13M shares
- $DCGO -14.66% mcap $66M · float 88M shares · sector: SERVICES-HEALTH SERVICES
- $PETZ -13.24% mcap $10M · float 6M shares
- $HUDI -10.53% mcap $16M · float 4M shares
- $DAIC -9.66% mcap $593,330 · float 659,200 shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
- $AIHS -9.33% mcap $24M · float 10M shares · sector: SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)
- $BGI -8.76% mcap $14M · float 3M shares
- $JZ -8.57% mcap $35M · float 7M shares
- $GMHS -8.36% mcap $57M
Before you chase late-session press releases, check how similar news gaps perform in regular hours. Pull the historical sample on FILTRIX.net to see real win rates before placing a trade. Discipline > FOMO
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