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$CUPR -46.08% — what the base rate says

$CUPR -46.08% — what the base rate says

DataMEDS AI ($MEDS) is running 150.62% this morning on a $3M market cap and a 2M share float. The latest official headline is 19 days old, pitching back-to-school cold medicine.

Traders call it momentum. The numbers call it an exit ramp.

In 13 historical gap-up sessions for $MEDS, the stock has closed red 77% of the time, giving up a median -6.55% from the open. Looking at the wider tape across 2,796 similar low-float gaps lacking fresh catalyst news, 70% resolve red before the closing bell.

Base rates do not care how loud the chatroom gets.

What the data showed

  • $CUPR -46.08% Cuprina Holdings (Cayman · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=971) mcap $6M · float 921,250 shares
  • $XBIO -33.96% Xenetic Biosciences, Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=971) mcap $10M · float 2M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $FBDT -26.70% First Breach, Inc. · closed red 58% · green 41% (n=1,702) mcap $36M · float 15M shares · sector: ORDNANCE & ACCESSORIES, (NO VEHICLES/GUIDED MISSILES)
  • $MYSE -24.15% Myseum.AI, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,435) mcap $14M · float 5M shares · sector: TELEGRAPH & OTHER MESSAGE COMMUNICATIONS
  • $MYSZ -22.85% My Size, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,435) mcap $1M · float 710,000 shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $ADBT -20.36% Advasa Holdings, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,435) mcap $47M · float 51M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $IPW -18.63% iPower Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,108) mcap $2M · float 792,222 shares · sector: RETAIL-BUILDING MATERIALS, HARDWARE, GARDEN SUPPLY
  • $CTNT -16.51% Cheetah Net Supply Chain Service Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,108) mcap $478,332 · float 3M shares · sector: WHOLESALE-MOTOR VEHICLES & MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & SUPPLIES
  • $HCAI -16.26% Huachen AI Parking Management Technology Holding Co., Ltd · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,108) mcap $13M · float 530,000 shares
  • $ZBAO -13.62% Zhibao Technology Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=5,069) mcap $26M · float 11M shares

Pull the historical sample on FILTRIX.net before chasing morning gaps on non-binding headlines. Discipline > FOMO.

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