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$EGAN -26.86% — what the base rate says

$EGAN -26.86% — what the base rate says

Akanda Corp ($AKAN) rallied 10.90% in after-hours trading on exactly zero fresh news. The last public release hit the tape 21 days ago, leaving a 530,000-share float to float entirely on retail speculation.

Here is what the tape actually remembers: $AKAN has experienced 33 historical gap-up days of 5% or greater. The stock faded to close red in 70% of those instances, generating a median intraday return of -11.16%.

Widening the lens across 7,535 low-float runners gapping without a catalyst, 65% finish red with a median loss of -5.57%.

The base rate points straight down: history says this fades red 70% of the time by tomorrow's bell. We will grade the outcome right here.

What the data showed

  • $EGAN -26.86% eGain Corporation · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=206) mcap $205M · float 22M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $LULU -17.63% lululemon athletica inc. · closed red 51% · green 48% (n=379) mcap $13.7B · float 104M shares · sector: APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL
  • $OXM -16.74% Oxford Industries, Inc. · closed red 51% · green 48% (n=379) mcap $572M · float 14M shares · sector: MEN'S & BOYS' FURNISHGS, WORK CLOTHG, & ALLIED GARMENTS
  • $GWRE -15.41% Guidewire Software, Inc. · closed red 51% · green 48% (n=379) mcap $17.0B · float 83M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $CDT -11.87% CDT Equity Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=7,993) mcap $1M · float 790,000 shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $ASAN -11.70% Asana, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=709) mcap $2.4B · float 90M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $NCT -11.66% Intercont (Cayman · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=5,069) mcap $2M · float 320,000 shares
  • $AEMD -9.85% Aethlon Medical, Inc. mcap $1M · float 2M shares · sector: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
  • $SPWR -9.48% SunPower Inc. mcap $58M · float 175M shares · sector: CONSTRUCTION - SPECIAL TRADE CONTRACTORS
  • $FBGL -8.52% FBS Global Limited mcap $8M · float 4M shares

Pull the historical sample on FILTRIX.net before you buy someone else's after-hours panic. Base rates tell you what happens next when the hype runs out. Discipline > FOMO.

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