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SPWR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 116 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2024-08-08

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 18, 2023 🔗 www.sunpowerinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $228.3M 👥 Employees: 600
SunPower Inc created a technology platform to offer clean energy products to homeowners.
📊
116
Total Alerts
🎯
52.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.16%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+7.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -2.89%
Best: +10.20%
Worst: -17.52%
Trades: 60/52

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +4.18%
Avg Loser: -4.28%
Best: +37.57%
Worst: -28.16%
Trades: 59/53

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +4.40%
Avg Loser: -4.03%
Best: +40.65%
Worst: -27.01%
Trades: 53/59

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +5.39%
Avg Loser: -4.58%
Best: +68.21%
Worst: -36.13%
Trades: 55/59

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +6.45%
Avg Loser: -7.35%
Best: +35.41%
Worst: -50.42%
Trades: 55/58

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.66%
Best MFE: +102.11%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, SPWR alerts reach +7.66% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.60%
Worst MAE: -27.09%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 116 alerts, SPWR typically reaches +7.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 116
Gap Up % 36.2%
Avg Gap -0.40%
Best Gap +3.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CONSTRUCTION - SPECIAL TRADE CONTRACTORS

How SPWR compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SPWR: -0.16% Sector: -0.54% +0.38%
EOD Gain
SPWR: -0.73% Sector: -0.64% -0.09%
Avg MFE
SPWR: +7.53% Sector: +7.99% -0.46%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPWR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-08 09:28:35 $0.35 +0.45% +6.20% -4.25% -4.20% -43.65% +12.60% -1.38% +0.70% WIN
2024-08-07 09:28:27 $0.47 -7.45% +14.99% +5.10% +10.76% -22.28% +22.53% -13.50% -2.58% LOSS
2024-08-06 09:27:04 $0.38 -2.43% +37.57% +40.65% +68.21% +19.72% +102.11% -12.21% -9.78% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:28:41 $0.77 -6.86% -0.81% +2.58% -0.05% +4.43% +7.29% -6.86% -1.11% LOSS
2024-08-01 09:25:19 $0.87 +1.02% +0.59% - -6.97% -1.95% +2.77% -1.13% +1.15% WIN
2024-07-31 09:29:34 $0.85 -1.32% -4.02% -3.71% -2.98% +0.53% +5.98% -4.59% -4.59% LOSS
2024-07-30 09:25:43 $0.78 +3.75% +8.73% +9.44% +9.09% +1.93% +12.19% +1.36% +2.26% WIN
2024-07-25 09:25:03 $0.99 +0.30% +8.87% +5.81% +2.82% -2.51% +10.89% -1.21% +0.43% WIN
2024-07-24 09:27:25 $0.93 +10.20% +11.81% +7.81% +9.14% +8.07% +16.63% -2.56% +0.58% WIN
2024-07-23 09:29:17 $0.69 +9.79% +8.20% +12.71% +8.84% +35.41% +77.26% -0.56% -0.55% WIN
2024-07-22 09:27:18 $0.66 -7.90% -17.71% -10.48% +1.39% +9.17% +17.07% -23.41% +0.09% LOSS
2024-07-19 09:25:39 $1.37 -17.52% -28.16% -27.01% -36.13% -50.42% - -1.46% -1.46% LOSS
2024-07-18 09:26:00 $2.37 +2.32% +2.32% +2.32% -11.38% -36.29% +4.64% -0.84% -0.84% WIN
2024-07-17 09:29:59 $2.55 +4.31% +3.92% +3.73% +1.96% -1.18% +6.27% -0.78% -0.78% WIN
2024-07-15 09:26:17 $2.59 -1.64% -2.90% -1.35% +0.19% -3.47% +1.12% -4.25% -3.09% LOSS
2024-07-12 09:26:08 $2.56 +1.37% +3.13% +0.20% +0.80% +5.08% +5.47% -4.69% -1.95% WIN
2024-07-11 09:29:25 $2.54 +0.79% +0.55% - -0.20% - +2.95% -1.18% - WIN
2024-07-08 09:29:55 $2.11 +0.92% +2.09% +5.45% +6.87% +2.84% +9.48% -0.47% -0.47% WIN
2024-07-05 09:25:17 $2.42 +0.91% +2.27% -4.34% -3.10% -14.05% +3.72% -1.24% -0.83% WIN
2024-06-28 09:27:36 $2.98 -0.34% -0.67% -1.51% -0.84% -0.67% +1.85% -1.34% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SPWR Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.6% win rate, SPWR has -0.16% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SPWR profitable.

🔧 Fix SPWR Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze SPWR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPWR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPWR historically offers an average upside of +7.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPWR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.6%, SPWR shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.89%) outweigh average wins (+2.20%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SPWR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.16%). This suggests SPWR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.