FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
← All insights

$BLZE — what the base rate says

$BLZE — what the base rate says

Backblaze beat by 125% and the paragraph that reports it ends with a Sell rating.

$BLZE is +36.76% premarket after Monday evening's Q3: $0.09 a share against a $0.04 consensus, revenue $46.65 million, 4.54% above estimates. Same write-up, three sentences later: Zacks Rank #4, Sell, on unfavorable estimate revisions. Both lines are reading the same release. The beat is about the quarter that already happened; the rating is about the direction analysts were revising before the print. One is a fact, the other is a trend, and the premarket is paying for the fact at a 37% premium while the trend sits one scroll below it.

This is a $470 million software company with a 45-million-share float, not a two-million-share squeeze. It is a repricing of a name that was being marked down into the print and surprised the people marking it.

The Backblaze-specific record is three prior mornings that opened 5% or more above the prior close, which is nothing. The nearest cross-stock comparison the file offers is 83 prior sessions where a company reported before the bell and opened at least 30% above the previous close: a third closed above that open, the median finished 1.95% under it. Different reporting hour, same gap size, and the kind of thin sample this blog cites rather than leans on.

Buy the quarter or sell the revisions, but not from the premarket ask, where both opinions cost the most.

Same rating, opposite quarter. #ADEA reported $0.21 a share against a $0.33 consensus, revenue 21.95% short, and carries the identical Zacks Rank #4 Sell; it is -20.32% premarket on a $2.4 billion market cap. One name beat and got a Sell, one missed and got a Sell. The rating is tracking revisions, not the tape, which is why it cannot tell you which gap holds past the open.

What the data showed

  • $VCIG -36.28% VCI Global Limited mcap $3M · float 1M shares
  • $JAGX -29.40% Jaguar Health, Inc. mcap $3M · float 2M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $HXHX -27.97% Haoxin Holdings Limited mcap $6M · float 7M shares
  • $BDMD -25.87% Baird Medical Investment Holdings Limited mcap $52M · float 9M shares
  • $SHFS -22.29% SHF Holdings, Inc. mcap $1M · float 919,166 shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
  • $JDZG -20.54% JIADE Limited mcap $9M · float 5M shares
  • $ADEA -20.32% Adeia Inc. mcap $2.4B · float 108M shares · sector: CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
  • $GMEX -20.17% GMEX Robotics Corporation mcap $2M · float 728,888 shares
  • $EBS -19.26% Emergent BioSolutions Inc. mcap $356M · float 51M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $SMTK -17.17% SmartKem, Inc. mcap $2M · float 990,000 shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

Run the earnings-day gap-up sample on FILTRIX.net and see how a 30% open held into the close across stocks before the premarket ask gets your order.

Find Your Edge on FILTRIX →