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JAGX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 276 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2024-12-17

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 13, 2015 🔗 www.jaguar.health
💰 Market Cap: $3.2M 👥 Employees: 49
Jaguar Health Inc is a commercial-stage pharmaceuticals company focused on developing novel, plant-based, non-opioid, and sustainably derived prescription medicines for people and animals with GI distress, specifically chronic, debilitating diarrhea. Its product Mytesi is a novel, first-in-class anti-secretory agent which has a basic normalizing effect locally on the gut, and this mechanism of action has the potential to benefit multiple disorders. It has two reportable segments namely human health and animal health. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Human Health segment.
📊
276
Total Alerts
🎯
77.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+3807225.48%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.2%
Avg Gain: -0.56%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +6.36%
Worst: -12.29%
Trades: 94/162

15MIN

Win Rate: 32.8%
Avg Gain: -1.10%
Avg Winner: +1.90%
Avg Loser: -2.67%
Best: +6.66%
Worst: -13.19%
Trades: 90/177

30MIN

Win Rate: 30.9%
Avg Gain: -1.38%
Avg Winner: +2.71%
Avg Loser: -3.24%
Best: +20.75%
Worst: -16.40%
Trades: 85/188

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.1%
Avg Gain: -1.54%
Avg Winner: +3.26%
Avg Loser: -3.98%
Best: +28.09%
Worst: -19.60%
Trades: 90/179

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 77.5%
Avg Gain: +3807225.48%
Avg Winner: +4910255.24%
Avg Loser: -6.26%
Best: +13284275.00%
Worst: -20.74%
Trades: 214/62

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.37%
Best MFE: +52.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 104 min

On average, JAGX alerts reach +5.37% profit potential within 104 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.70%
Worst MAE: -16.66%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.99:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 276 alerts, JAGX typically reaches +5.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 276
Gap Up % 38.8%
Avg Gap -0.24%
Best Gap +6.13%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How JAGX compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
JAGX: -0.55% Sector: -0.32% -0.23%
EOD Gain
JAGX: +3837369.76% Sector: +4480411.22% -643041.46%
Avg MFE
JAGX: +5.45% Sector: +7.56% -2.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JAGX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-17 09:28:52 $0.89 +2.81% +2.34% +3.37% +4.65% +5.62% +8.76% - +2.47% WIN
2024-12-12 09:29:27 $1.15 -4.35% -6.17% -9.57% -10.43% -15.21% -0.06% -2.61% -0.87% LOSS
2024-10-16 09:25:57 $1.23 - -1.63% +0.80% -1.06% +2400.00% +1.63% -3.25% -1.63% -
2024-10-01 09:25:17 $1.3 -2.31% -2.68% -2.31% +0.77% -5.38% +1.92% -5.38% -0.77% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:28:38 $1.14 -12.29% -4.25% -2.19% -3.46% -6.14% +3.51% -16.66% -1.75% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:28:32 $1.56 +4.49% -0.64% -6.40% -8.38% -9.62% +7.05% - +1.92% WIN
2024-07-23 09:28:37 $1.5 +1.99% -8.67% -1.29% +4.03% +17.33% +52.00% -12.00% -2.67% WIN
2024-06-12 09:26:43 $3.76 -4.26% -2.93% -6.91% -8.19% +2353.46% +2.93% -14.89% -2.13% LOSS
2024-06-03 09:25:30 $4.17 -2.21% -1.68% -4.56% -6.08% +0.48% +5.28% -7.58% -0.72% LOSS
2024-05-30 09:28:14 $4.67 +4.07% +2.78% -0.21% +4.71% +2196.57% +11.56% -2.36% -2.36% WIN
2024-05-29 09:27:43 $4.23 -3.30% -6.97% -8.63% -12.29% +2476.83% +7.57% -15.13% -0.24% LOSS
2024-05-28 09:29:49 $4.8 -6.26% -6.25% -11.46% -12.29% +1998.96% -0.00% -1.04% -0.83% LOSS
2024-05-24 09:27:47 $5.28 -2.37% -7.01% -10.04% -7.95% +2092.23% +0.38% -1.33% -1.14% LOSS
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $0.1 - - - - +144114.08% +5.11% -2.31% -3.57% -
2023-12-29 09:26:00 $0.16 -1.22% -2.13% -2.44% -4.82% +138375.61% +3.60% -6.40% - LOSS
2023-12-28 09:28:00 $0.17 -0.06% -0.60% -0.96% -0.45% +145668.31% +0.84% -3.96% +0.18% LOSS
2023-12-27 09:26:00 $0.17 -2.41% -1.90% -2.47% -5.80% +140336.53% +0.06% - -1.21% LOSS
2023-12-26 09:26:00 $0.17 -0.83% -0.54% +0.66% +1.01% +153116.20% +4.23% -3.99% +1.25% LOSS
2023-12-22 09:26:00 $0.16 -1.27% -1.34% -1.08% +3.69% +158976.43% +7.01% -1.97% -1.27% LOSS
2023-12-21 09:26:00 $0.15 +0.53% +0.53% -0.46% +0.33% +151486.25% +2.38% -0.86% +1.78% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 77.5% Baseline on JAGX

The 77.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push JAGX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize JAGX Strategy →

Why Analyze JAGX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JAGX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JAGX historically offers an average upside of +5.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JAGX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 77.5%, JAGX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show JAGX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +3807225.48%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.