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$INV -41.39% — what the base rate says

$INV -41.39% — what the base rate says

First, grading our public calls: $INV (-2% red) and $GXAI (-4% red) delivered expected downside, while $BZAI (+2% green) gave us an explicit miss.

Today's base rate highlight belongs to $AKAN, surging +54% pre-market on news of a 200 KM fiber network completion. Headline chasers love the narrative, but the sample size tells another story: across 30 historical gap-up days for $AKAN, the stock fades to red 67% of the time with a median intraday drop of -9.05%.

Press releases build pre-market hype, but historical order flow collects the toll. Respect the sample size before deploying capital.

What the data showed

  • $INV -41.39% Innventure, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=58) mcap $282M · float 63M shares · sector: BLANK CHECKS
  • $MVIS -41.25% MicroVision, Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=865) mcap $87M · float 329M shares · sector: ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
  • $BZAI -30.77% Blaize Holdings, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=58) mcap $155M · float 94M shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $KLC -26.50% KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=178) mcap $566M · float 32M shares · sector: SERVICES-CHILD DAY CARE SERVICES
  • $AMPG -25.71% AmpliTech Group, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=178) mcap $157M · float 22M shares · sector: COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, NEC
  • $XOS -23.64% Xos, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $36M · float 8M shares · sector: MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
  • $TSSI -23.08% TSS, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=178) mcap $320M · float 24M shares · sector: SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
  • $PWCM -23.03% PowerCompute, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=178)
  • $SSTI -22.01% SoundThinking, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=178)
  • $FGL -21.52% Founder Group Limited · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $2M · float 920,000 shares

Run the historical gap-up odds on FILTRIX.net before chasing early morning momentum. Know the base rate before you execute. Discipline > FOMO

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