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MVIS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 85 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-10

⚠️ Small sample size (85 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 27, 1996 🔗 www.microvision.com
💰 Market Cap: $260.0M 👥 Employees: 185
Microvision Inc is engaged in developing a lidar sensor to be used in automotive safety and autonomous driving applications. Its lidar sensor uses laser beam scanning (LBS) technology, which is based on systems that include micro-electrical mechanical systems (MEMS), laser diodes, opto-mechanics, electronics, algorithms, and software. The company has also developed solutions for Augmented Reality, Interactive Displays, and Consumer Lidars.
📊
85
Total Alerts
🎯
42.4%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.65%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+6.35%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +1.89%
Avg Loser: -2.15%
Best: +14.90%
Worst: -7.28%
Trades: 30/50

15MIN

Win Rate: 34.1%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +3.27%
Avg Loser: -2.79%
Best: +14.86%
Worst: -14.99%
Trades: 29/55

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: -0.65%
Avg Winner: +3.74%
Avg Loser: -3.86%
Best: +11.49%
Worst: -13.56%
Trades: 36/49

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +4.84%
Avg Loser: -4.31%
Best: +18.83%
Worst: -16.99%
Trades: 34/50

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.5%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +8.10%
Avg Loser: -5.33%
Best: +31.52%
Worst: -20.61%
Trades: 34/50

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.35%
Best MFE: +38.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 106 min

On average, MVIS alerts reach +6.35% profit potential within 106 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.72%
Worst MAE: -13.42%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.72%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 85 alerts, MVIS typically reaches +6.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 85
Gap Up % 20.0%
Avg Gap -0.51%
Best Gap +2.57%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC

How MVIS compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MVIS: -0.60% Sector: -0.22% -0.38%
EOD Gain
MVIS: +0.10% Sector: -0.20% +0.30%
Avg MFE
MVIS: +6.42% Sector: +4.46% +1.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MVIS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:26:26 $1.57 +0.96% +3.44% +3.18% -0.64% -3.18% +5.73% -1.27% +1.27% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:04 $1.55 -0.64% -0.97% -2.73% -1.61% -4.52% +0.65% -3.23% -1.94% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:28:34 $1.62 +0.50% -0.31% +3.52% +1.93% -5.56% +6.79% -2.47% -2.47% WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:41 $1.44 +3.47% +4.17% +6.94% +5.90% +9.03% +14.24% -2.08% -2.08% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:56 $1.46 -2.40% -1.03% -1.37% -4.47% -4.79% +2.05% -2.05% +0.68% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:42 $1.56 -1.28% -1.42% -0.95% -2.24% +0.64% +1.60% -4.49% -1.92% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:58 $1.61 -1.55% +2.98% +3.11% +0.01% -3.11% +4.35% -3.11% - LOSS
2025-01-24 09:27:00 $1.87 -1.87% -5.34% -5.20% -4.14% -8.02% +1.60% -5.88% -0.80% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:13 $1.61 +14.90% +14.86% +11.49% +11.76% +13.04% +21.12% +0.31% +0.62% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:34 $1.65 -2.73% -1.21% -5.45% -6.74% -3.64% +0.61% -0.61% +0.61% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:29:49 $1.52 -2.78% -3.35% -2.01% +3.07% +5.92% +9.87% -6.58% -0.66% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:26 $1.26 +3.86% +5.56% +11.15% +7.75% +14.29% +18.25% -0.79% - WIN
2025-01-15 09:26:38 $1.25 +0.90% +3.60% +4.80% +7.60% +2.40% +8.80% -0.80% +1.60% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:53 $1.24 -4.66% -9.05% -6.05% -8.09% -4.03% -0.81% -1.61% -2.42% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:15 $1.19 -0.42% +1.67% +0.84% +2.76% +6.72% +8.99% -3.36% -1.68% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:25:06 $1.4 -5.71% -14.99% -13.56% -12.39% -15.00% -0.71% -0.71% -2.86% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:25:57 $1.44 -0.72% +0.50% +5.90% +5.59% -2.78% +12.50% -3.47% - LOSS
2025-01-06 09:28:52 $1.54 +2.27% -2.92% +0.97% -2.38% -9.74% +2.92% -3.25% -1.30% WIN
2025-01-03 09:26:44 $1.4 -4.29% -0.04% +0.04% -3.21% +7.14% +7.14% -5.71% -0.71% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:27:07 $1.38 - +0.36% -2.90% -2.17% -1.45% +2.17% -6.16% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MVIS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.4% win rate and -0.65% average gain, MVIS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MVIS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MVIS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MVIS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MVIS historically offers an average upside of +6.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MVIS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.4%, MVIS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MVIS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MVIS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.65%). This suggests MVIS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.