The easiest way to lose capital is to mistake a low-float liquidity trap for a fundamental turnaround.
$CISS is up 65.14% before the open on exactly zero news. It has a tiny 530,000-share float. Our backtester analyzed 17 historical gap-up days for this stock. It closed red 88% of them, with a median intraday return of -9.03%.
On the other side of the tape, Enlivex ($ENLV) slides 21.60% after announcing a $400M private placement. When a company with a $179M market cap prints that many new shares, the math of dilution isn't a suggestion—it's a gravity wave.
The base rate says $CISS has an 88% probability of closing red today. We'll track it at the bell.