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$TNON -34.44% — what the base rate says

$TNON -34.44% — what the base rate says

A $4M freight-shipping micro-cap named $SGLY is gapping +121% pre-market because it signed a "non-binding" framework for a 900-acre AI data center. That PR hit right on the heels of a $1.8M registered direct offering.

Across the ticker, $AAP drops -23% on real Q2 numbers, while $HUIZ rips +131% on unaudited H1 results.

Across 2,881 historical catalyst gap-ups over 30%, the base rate shows 65% fade into the close with an average intraday loss of roughly 3%. When the PR is non-binding and the dilution is already filed, retail is simply buying the exit.

What the data showed

  • $TNON -34.44% Tenon Medical, Inc. · closed red 62% · green 37% (n=641) mcap $3M · float 9M shares · sector: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
  • $ONFO -33.76% Onfolio Holdings, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=58) mcap $330,896 · float 4M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
  • $SURG -25.75% SurgePays, Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $7M · float 19M shares · sector: TELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS (NO RADIOTELEPHONE)
  • $RDAC -23.69% Rising Dragon Acquisition Corp. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $35M · float 6M shares · sector: BLANK CHECKS
  • $AAP -23.28% Advance Auto Parts, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=178) mcap $3.4B · float 59M shares · sector: RETAIL-AUTO & HOME SUPPLY STORES
  • $MTNB -21.00% Matinas BioPharma Holdings, Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $3M · float 6M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $LGCL -19.89% Lucas GC Limited · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $71M · float 64M shares
  • $ZSTK -19.15% ZeroStack Corp. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,301) mcap $34M · sector: WHOLESALE-DRUGS, PROPRIETARIES & DRUGGISTS' SUNDRIES
  • $BTOG -17.61% Bit Origin Ltd · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $3M · float 1M shares
  • $COTY -17.49% Coty Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=323) mcap $2.4B · float 374M shares · sector: PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS

Run the historical odds on FILTRIX.net before chasing non-binding press releases into the opening bell. Know your edge before putting capital on the line. Discipline > FOMO

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