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COTY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 29 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-21 → 2024-11-07
⚠️ Small sample size (29 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, COTY alerts reach +2.50% profit potential within 158 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.96%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.59x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, COTY typically reaches +2.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS
How COTY compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical COTY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-07 | 09:25:49 | $7.28 | -2.47% | -0.48% | -1.85% | -1.30% | -0.41% | +2.20% | -3.57% | +0.14% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-31 | 09:25:00 | $7.41 | +0.34% | +1.08% | +1.82% | +2.10% | +0.40% | +2.50% | - | +1.08% | WIN |
| 2024-10-15 | 09:27:48 | $8.79 | -4.66% | -5.35% | -7.00% | -7.11% | -6.94% | +0.11% | -1.25% | -0.57% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-07 | 09:25:49 | $9.42 | +0.21% | -0.27% | +0.16% | +0.32% | -0.64% | +1.49% | -0.11% | +1.27% | WIN |
| 2024-02-07 | 09:29:02 | $12.3 | -1.22% | -1.83% | -1.95% | -1.14% | -0.98% | +0.41% | -0.20% | +0.16% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-13 | 09:26:00 | $11.88 | +0.25% | +0.21% | +0.25% | +0.17% | +2.61% | +2.99% | -0.76% | -0.17% | WIN |
| 2023-11-01 | 09:26:00 | $9.04 | +0.77% | +0.66% | +0.61% | +2.10% | +3.10% | +3.26% | -0.28% | +1.22% | WIN |
| 2023-10-18 | 09:28:00 | $9.95 | -0.60% | -1.41% | -1.61% | -0.20% | -1.81% | +0.15% | -1.81% | -0.40% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-06 | 09:28:00 | $10.19 | +0.59% | +0.25% | - | +0.15% | +3.53% | +4.42% | -0.29% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2023-10-04 | 09:26:00 | $10.21 | +0.64% | +1.03% | +1.08% | -0.49% | +0.98% | +1.52% | -1.47% | +0.78% | WIN |
| 2023-10-03 | 09:27:00 | $10.76 | +0.09% | +0.46% | +0.19% | -0.51% | -4.28% | +0.88% | -0.65% | -0.56% | WIN |
| 2023-09-29 | 09:28:00 | $11.1 | +0.77% | +0.41% | +0.36% | +0.34% | -1.17% | +1.35% | +0.45% | +0.63% | WIN |
| 2023-09-28 | 09:29:00 | $10.99 | +0.86% | +0.32% | +0.27% | +0.23% | +1.36% | +1.46% | -0.82% | +0.09% | WIN |
| 2023-08-22 | 09:28:00 | $10.89 | -0.66% | -2.16% | -2.75% | -1.52% | -1.56% | +0.73% | -4.04% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-09 | 09:29:00 | $12.43 | -4.22% | -6.92% | -6.36% | -6.44% | -5.71% | +0.56% | -1.45% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-02-08 | 09:26:00 | $10.27 | -2.92% | -2.73% | -2.58% | -2.68% | -1.07% | +0.49% | +0.49% | +0.29% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-17 | 09:27:00 | $9.49 | +0.84% | +1.16% | +0.42% | +0.79% | +0.32% | +1.48% | +0.21% | +0.32% | WIN |
| 2022-09-21 | 09:25:00 | $8.15 | +1.10% | +0.12% | +1.78% | +0.12% | -1.35% | +2.39% | -0.61% | +1.23% | WIN |
| 2022-08-25 | 09:25:00 | $7.6 | +2.79% | +4.14% | +5.92% | +6.78% | +7.50% | +8.29% | -0.66% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2022-07-05 | 09:25:00 | $7.61 | -0.72% | -0.85% | +0.33% | - | +4.99% | +5.26% | -1.45% | -0.53% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ COTY Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 58.6% win rate, COTY has -0.23% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making COTY profitable.
🔧 Fix COTY Risk/Reward →Why Analyze COTY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COTY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, COTY historically offers an average upside of +2.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 COTY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 58.6%, COTY shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.79%) outweigh average wins (+0.87%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: COTY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.23%). This suggests COTY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.