Wednesday's post-market tape is a beautiful diagnostic of retail bipolarity. Mangoceuticals ($MGRX) rips 82% after-hours because its merger partner signed a 'Memorandum of Understanding' in Utah—which is corporate speak for an agreement to have a meeting. Across the ticker, actual companies with actual balance sheets like ThredUp ($TDUP) are getting carved up 28% on real Q2 earnings. When micro-caps gap up on vague MOUs, history is incredibly consistent: in 17 prior gap-up days, $MGRX has faded to red 76% of the time. What is your hard rule for trading low-float MOU hype?
$YXT -33.59% — what the base rate says
What the data showed
- $YXT -33.59% float 18M shares
- $TDUP -28.34% mcap $801M · float 81M shares · sector: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES
- $BLLN -25.99% mcap $6.3B · float 20M shares · sector: SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES
- $FLNC -24.03% mcap $1.9B · float 75M shares · sector: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
- $EBS -23.34% mcap $382M · float 51M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
- $AKBA -23.33% mcap $351M · float 247M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
- $MIRM -22.50% mcap $6.4B · float 50M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
- $NXTT -21.37% mcap $33M · float 148M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
- $DAVE -20.50% mcap $5.1B · float 10M shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
- $ONT -20.46%
Don't let a flashy 80% after-hours gap blindside your capital. Run the historical gap-up numbers on FILTRIX.net to see how often these MOU pumps actually hold their gains by the next day's close. Discipline > FOMO
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