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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AKBA

Trade-Ideas alerts 40.9% at 5-min n=159 2022-02-14 → 2026-08-31

🏢 Company Profile

Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 20, 2014 🔗 www.akebia.com
💰 Market Cap: $239.7M 👥 Employees: 194
Akebia Therapeutics Inc is a fully integrated biopharmaceutical company. The Company's operating segment is the business of developing and commercializing novel therapeutics. The current portfolio of the company includes Auryxia (ferric citrate), a medicine approved and marketed in the United States for the control of serum phosphorus levels in adult patients with dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease and the treatment of iron deficiency anemia, in adult patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease, Vafseo (vadadustat), an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase, inhibitor approved in Japan for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease, and HIF-PH inhibitors in preclinical development.
Total alerts
159
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
40.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.34%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.01%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AKBA on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +11.87%
Worst: -8.44%
Trades: 65/89

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.6%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +2.63%
Avg Loser: -2.80%
Best: +12.71%
Worst: -13.72%
Trades: 63/93

30MIN

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -0.93%
Avg Winner: +2.48%
Avg Loser: -3.17%
Best: +14.37%
Worst: -12.29%
Trades: 61/94

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.8%
Avg Gain: -1.01%
Avg Winner: +3.83%
Avg Loser: -3.80%
Best: +16.02%
Worst: -13.06%
Trades: 57/100

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -1.01%
Avg Winner: +5.51%
Avg Loser: -5.58%
Best: +20.27%
Worst: -64.72%
Trades: 65/93

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.01%
Best MFE: +28.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, AKBA alerts reach +5.01% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.28%
Worst MAE: -11.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.28%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.2:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.2x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 159 alerts, AKBA typically reaches +5.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 159
Gap Up % 44.7%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +6.78%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How AKBA compares to 456 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AKBA: -0.35% Sector: -0.28% -0.07%
EOD Gain
AKBA: -1.03% Sector: +2912438.65% -2912439.69%
Avg MFE
AKBA: +5.01% Sector: +7.28% -2.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AKBA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $0.87 +0.39% -0.69% -1.80% +1.70% +5.11% +6.96% -2.19% +0.68% WIN
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $0.9 -0.49% -0.09% -1.93% -6.32% -6.22% +1.00% -0.88% +0.00% LOSS
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $0.95 -7.22% -2.07% -0.58% -3.63% -0.03% +5.79% -10.97% -5.51% LOSS
2026-06-30 09:25:00 $1.3 -8.44% -10.75% -12.29% -13.06% -12.29% +0.02% -5.36% -1.13% LOSS
2026-05-07 09:25:00 $1.18 -0.23% +2.13% +2.52% -0.42% +0.01% +3.82% -4.23% -3.38% LOSS
2026-04-30 09:25:00 $1.4 -0.34% -2.14% -1.79% -1.79% -1.43% +0.36% -0.71% -0.71% LOSS
2026-04-17 09:25:00 $1.38 -1.09% -2.54% -3.62% -0.72% +1.81% +5.07% -3.99% +0.00% LOSS
2026-03-06 09:25:00 $1.25 -3.20% -0.40% -0.72% +1.52% +1.60% +2.40% -3.60% -1.60% LOSS
2026-02-27 09:25:00 $1.33 -1.66% -2.63% -4.14% -1.88% -1.50% +1.13% -4.89% -2.26% LOSS
2026-02-26 09:25:00 $1.43 -1.15% -2.76% -8.00% -8.00% -7.65% +5.64% -3.46% +2.49% LOSS
2026-01-12 09:25:00 $1.49 -2.68% -5.37% -5.70% -6.13% -6.04% +0.00% -1.01% +0.00% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:38 $2.06 +0.49% -0.03% +0.73% +0.00% -0.97% +1.21% -0.49% -0.49% WIN
2024-11-07 09:27:45 $1.75 -3.46% -0.63% -1.78% +2.33% +6.57% +9.14% -4.57% -0.57% LOSS
2024-10-23 09:25:38 $1.7 -2.35% -4.12% -3.54% -4.12% -6.47% -0.59% -0.59% -0.59% LOSS
2024-08-16 09:29:54 $1.41 +0.71% +2.48% +2.84% +1.42% +2.13% +3.55% +0.00% +0.71% WIN
2024-08-08 09:27:50 $1.14 -1.75% -2.19% -1.75% +1.32% +4.39% +7.02% -6.14% +1.75% LOSS
2024-07-16 09:27:43 $1.33 +3.01% +2.63% +0.59% -0.38% +6.77% +9.77% -1.50% +1.50% WIN
2024-07-11 09:28:07 $1.12 +0.45% +0.08% -1.79% -2.23% +13.39% +13.39% -3.57% +2.68% WIN
2023-11-17 09:26:00 $1.04 -0.82% -0.07% -3.85% -3.85% -3.85% +0.82% -1.92% -1.92% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $1.03 -4.37% +0.00% -0.87% -0.49% -6.80% +3.88% -7.55% +0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AKBA Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.9% win rate and -0.34% average gain, AKBA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AKBA for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AKBA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AKBA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AKBA historically offers an average upside of +5.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AKBA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.9%, AKBA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AKBA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AKBA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.34%). This suggests AKBA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.