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$NVTS — what the base rate says

$NVTS — what the base rate says

Navitas posted its headline at 4:15 PM ET, after the bell: "U.S. Government Selects Navitas to Develop Next-Generation 10 kV SiC Power Semiconductors."

The verb is develop, not supply or ship. The headline gives no dollar figure and no production schedule.

$NVTS is +14.24% after hours. This is a roughly $3.2 billion company with 200 million shares of float. It is a serious name moving on a named customer, not a float squeeze.

This morning's #SOAR headline ran the other way: $1.2 billion in orders from an unnamed "Large AI Customer," and it now sits on the loser side at -8.25%. One headline had a number without a buyer. This one has a buyer without a number.

Navitas's own record covers 31 prior sessions that opened with a gap-up of 5% or more. They split 48% closing above the open and 52% below, with a median of -0.69%. That history is close to a coin toss, and it shows no edge in either direction.

What the data showed

  • $KNRX -18.70% Knorex Ltd. mcap $30M · float 30M shares
  • $BYSI -16.96% BeyondSpring Inc. mcap $32M · float 31M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $TDTH -11.71% Trident Digital Tech Holdings Ltd mcap $8M · float 3M shares
  • $TANH -11.43% Tantech Holdings Ltd mcap $5M · float 10M shares
  • $ACTU -9.75% Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. mcap $16M · float 10M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $SMJF -8.97% SMJ International Holdings Inc. mcap $93M · float 3M shares
  • $WALD -8.49% Waldencast plc mcap $132M · float 36M shares · sector: PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS
  • $VSME -8.49% VS MEDIA Holdings Limited mcap $3M · float 3M shares
  • $XLAB -8.33% Exascale Labs Holdings Inc. mcap $277M · float 22M shares
  • $SOAR -8.25% Volato Group, Inc. mcap $10M · float 53M shares · sector: AIR TRANSPORTATION, NONSCHEDULED

Pull Navitas's 31 prior gap-up sessions on FILTRIX.net. A near-even split still hides a spread, and the spread is where the risk lives.

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