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Latest signal:

SOAR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 19 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-12-05 → 2024-12-10

⚠️ Small sample size (19 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Dec 04, 2023 🔗 www.flyvolato.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.4M 👥 Employees: 12
Volato Group Inc operates an aircraft ownership program, provides ad-hoc charter flights, sells deposit products, and manages aircraft for owners in the private aviation industry. It offers fractional ownership, aircraft management, jet cards, deposit, and charter programs. The company's fractional programs provides flexible hours and a revenue share for owners in a fleet of HondaJets, optimized for missions of up to four passengers.
📊
19
Total Alerts
🎯
78.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1394.86%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+8.96%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -2.93%
Avg Winner: +7.84%
Avg Loser: -5.08%
Best: +11.84%
Worst: -25.37%
Trades: 3/15

15MIN

Win Rate: 21.1%
Avg Gain: -3.63%
Avg Winner: +11.52%
Avg Loser: -7.67%
Best: +26.74%
Worst: -17.34%
Trades: 4/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 21.1%
Avg Gain: -6.25%
Avg Winner: +6.07%
Avg Loser: -9.54%
Best: +10.71%
Worst: -18.81%
Trades: 4/15

60MIN

Win Rate: 10.5%
Avg Gain: -9.24%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -10.55%
Best: +3.80%
Worst: -23.93%
Trades: 2/17

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 78.9%
Avg Gain: +1394.86%
Avg Winner: +1770.21%
Avg Loser: -12.71%
Best: +2287.14%
Worst: -22.92%
Trades: 15/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.96%
Best MFE: +38.69%
Avg Time to MFE: 45 min

On average, SOAR alerts reach +8.96% profit potential within 45 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.29%
Worst MAE: -32.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.42:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, SOAR typically reaches +8.96% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 19
Gap Up % 31.6%
Avg Gap -1.84%
Best Gap +6.32%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, NONSCHEDULED

How SOAR compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SOAR: -2.93% Sector: -1.84% -1.09%
EOD Gain
SOAR: +1374.41% Sector: +1546.18% -171.77%
Avg MFE
SOAR: +7.97% Sector: +10.88% -2.91%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SOAR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-10 09:26:01 $0.31 -7.12% -6.51% -7.40% -4.66% +2244.56% -2.85% -4.44% -12.34% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:27:22 $0.31 -6.51% -11.78% -12.96% -7.87% +2050.23% +2.22% -13.60% -8.45% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:29:46 $0.31 -4.34% -9.89% -7.49% -7.59% -11.18% +6.32% -0.49% +6.32% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:26:45 $0.32 -1.46% -5.16% -7.39% -4.97% -2.64% +5.35% -5.66% -2.48% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:27:46 $0.4 -5.99% -2.90% -12.20% -17.45% +2164.29% +12.97% -10.91% -0.99% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:27:23 $0.31 -0.94% +2.45% +4.75% -0.29% +2268.46% +8.01% -4.78% -0.36% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:26:26 $0.31 -1.27% -4.11% -7.99% -3.82% +2065.61% +9.87% -12.07% -1.27% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:26:11 $0.32 -0.34% -2.99% -6.89% -4.52% +2220.82% +4.36% -1.68% -0.28% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:27:57 $0.35 -1.83% -8.56% -14.16% -11.33% +2117.45% +0.14% -0.14% -1.83% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:28:01 $0.4 -2.26% -9.77% -6.01% -9.57% -14.11% +2.76% +0.20% +2.76% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:25:48 $0.55 +11.84% +26.74% +10.71% +0.05% +2037.07% +38.69% -3.75% +0.05% WIN
2024-09-27 09:25:52 $0.54 -13.44% -14.87% -18.81% -22.96% +1542.25% -0.04% -3.63% -15.24% LOSS
2024-07-30 09:27:57 $0.43 -3.20% -6.26% -8.12% -10.84% +5.10% +7.31% -13.76% -1.69% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:29:58 $0.5 +9.88% +6.30% -2.72% +3.80% +18.00% +26.26% -3.86% +2.98% WIN
2024-07-23 09:29:26 $0.77 -25.37% -17.34% +7.59% -19.42% +1815.45% +11.74% -32.02% -2.52% LOSS
2024-06-18 09:27:43 $0.69 -1.15% -2.70% -11.53% -23.93% +1953.80% +1.51% -4.47% -4.47% LOSS
2023-12-08 09:27:00 $7.31 +1.79% -4.38% -9.14% -4.65% +2287.14% +9.44% -2.74% +2.87% WIN
2023-12-06 09:25:00 $9.25 -0.97% -7.89% -10.22% -16.22% -22.92% -0.54% -0.97% -0.54% LOSS
2023-12-05 09:29:00 $13.42 - +10.59% +1.22% -9.29% +1762.89% +26.68% -0.67% +2.46% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 78.9% Baseline on SOAR

The 78.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SOAR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SOAR Strategy →

Why Analyze SOAR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SOAR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SOAR historically offers an average upside of +8.96% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SOAR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 78.9%, SOAR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SOAR performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1394.86%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.