$RDHL surged 60.36% today after announcing an $18M cash divestment of Talicia to Apotex.
Here is what the tape history shows before retail bids the breakout:
Across 45 historical gap-up days for $RDHL specifically, the stock has closed red 69% of the time, delivering a median intraday return of -2.80%.
When you zoom out to 2,881 similar catalyst-driven gap-ups across the broader market, 65% finish red by the closing bell.
An asset sale provides immediate balance sheet oxygen, but historical probability says the opening gap is almost always sold into.