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AAL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 720 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AAL alerts reach +1.78% profit potential within 120 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.68%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.6x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 720 alerts, AAL typically reaches +1.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
How AAL compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AAL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:26:49 | $15.81 | -0.25% | -0.09% | -0.70% | -0.70% | +1.01% | +1.08% | -1.08% | +0.16% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:26:23 | $16.39 | +0.52% | -0.76% | -0.70% | -1.46% | -3.97% | +0.67% | -0.24% | -0.18% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:26:08 | $16.22 | +0.34% | +1.05% | +0.96% | +1.63% | +0.25% | +2.34% | -0.12% | +0.99% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:29:25 | $16.45 | -0.70% | -1.00% | -0.15% | -0.85% | -0.24% | +0.67% | -1.92% | -0.12% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:26:13 | $16.37 | +0.00% | +0.24% | -0.15% | +0.34% | +2.02% | +2.75% | -0.92% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:50 | $16.99 | -0.12% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.03% | -0.41% | +1.41% | -0.47% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:26:10 | $16.93 | -0.30% | +0.90% | +1.03% | +0.10% | -0.18% | +1.77% | -0.77% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:27:35 | $17.15 | -0.90% | +0.17% | -0.29% | +0.87% | - | +1.87% | -1.14% | -0.41% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:28:02 | $16.8 | +0.33% | +1.40% | +1.93% | +1.82% | +2.38% | +4.40% | -0.57% | +0.12% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:28:47 | $16.86 | -1.04% | -0.06% | +0.85% | +1.39% | +0.59% | +2.85% | -1.84% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:28:24 | $17.37 | +0.14% | -0.92% | -2.22% | -2.76% | -1.96% | +0.96% | -3.05% | -0.40% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:29:27 | $19.06 | +0.01% | -0.92% | -1.08% | -2.39% | -2.10% | +0.21% | -1.36% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:29:38 | $18.46 | +0.11% | +0.11% | -0.72% | -0.11% | +0.98% | +1.03% | -1.03% | +0.33% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:28:47 | $18.55 | -0.22% | -0.43% | -0.89% | -1.62% | -1.51% | +0.27% | - | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:25:12 | $17.98 | +0.17% | +0.05% | -0.33% | -0.39% | +1.72% | +1.95% | -1.11% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:26:32 | $18.49 | -0.54% | -0.70% | -1.05% | -1.06% | -2.27% | +0.38% | -0.38% | +0.27% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-14 | 09:29:26 | $17.83 | +0.90% | +0.28% | +0.08% | +1.09% | +2.13% | +2.30% | -0.22% | -0.22% | WIN |
| 2025-01-13 | 09:26:17 | $18.09 | -2.27% | -2.10% | -2.16% | -2.93% | -2.71% | +0.01% | -0.83% | -0.97% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:27:22 | $17.9 | +0.11% | +1.73% | +1.87% | +1.12% | +2.68% | +3.07% | +0.06% | +0.17% | WIN |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:29:59 | $17.55 | -1.77% | -2.39% | -2.28% | -1.68% | +0.28% | +0.97% | -2.71% | -0.11% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AAL Shows Negative Expectancy
With 49.3% win rate and -0.05% average gain, AAL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AAL for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze AAL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AAL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AAL historically offers an average upside of +1.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AAL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 49.3%, AAL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AAL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AAL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.05%). This suggests AAL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.