$AAL
Trade-Ideas alerts 49.3% at 60-min n=789 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading AAL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
Playable AAL setups
Historical AAL setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AAL alerts reach +1.80% profit potential within 121 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.70%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.57x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 789 alerts, AAL typically reaches +1.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
How AAL compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AAL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 09:25:00 | $13.39 | +0.19% | -1.98% | -2.43% | -2.65% | -3.36% | +0.45% | +0.15% | -0.22% | WIN |
| 2026-09-24 | 09:25:00 | $13.21 | +0.68% | +0.45% | +0.83% | -0.08% | +1.06% | +3.18% | -0.83% | +0.00% | WIN |
| 2026-09-22 | 09:25:00 | $14.04 | -0.84% | -0.96% | -0.36% | -1.39% | -3.06% | +0.14% | -0.43% | +0.14% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-21 | 09:25:00 | $13.29 | +0.08% | -0.64% | -1.02% | -0.56% | +2.11% | +2.33% | -1.35% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2026-09-17 | 09:25:00 | $13.02 | +0.00% | -0.65% | +0.23% | +0.42% | -0.61% | +0.84% | -1.00% | +0.15% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-14 | 09:25:00 | $12.65 | -0.16% | +1.38% | +1.98% | +2.61% | +3.52% | +4.62% | -0.43% | -0.12% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-11 | 09:25:00 | $13.12 | -0.53% | -0.22% | -0.58% | -0.80% | -0.84% | +0.76% | -1.30% | +0.08% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-10 | 09:25:00 | $12.66 | +0.24% | +1.07% | +1.58% | +2.88% | +1.50% | +3.16% | -0.39% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2026-09-08 | 09:25:00 | $12.98 | -0.54% | +0.08% | -0.05% | +0.08% | -0.54% | +1.39% | -0.81% | -0.31% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-01 | 09:25:00 | $13.2 | +0.15% | +1.17% | +0.64% | +0.87% | -1.89% | +1.44% | -0.15% | +0.02% | WIN |
| 2026-08-31 | 09:25:00 | $13.37 | -0.64% | -0.30% | -0.45% | +0.19% | +0.45% | +0.93% | -0.75% | +0.00% | LOSS |
| 2026-08-26 | 09:25:00 | $14.1 | +0.07% | -0.18% | -0.50% | -0.82% | -1.84% | +0.39% | -0.43% | +0.00% | WIN |
| 2026-08-25 | 09:25:00 | $13.99 | +0.32% | -1.15% | -1.85% | -2.19% | -0.29% | +0.39% | -0.54% | +0.35% | WIN |
| 2026-08-20 | 09:25:00 | $13.64 | -0.30% | -0.26% | -0.12% | -0.30% | -0.85% | +0.54% | -0.78% | -0.34% | LOSS |
| 2026-08-10 | 09:25:00 | $15.79 | -1.17% | -0.67% | -1.49% | -1.68% | -5.00% | +0.00% | -0.20% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2026-07-29 | 09:25:00 | $14.7 | +0.31% | +2.31% | +2.04% | +2.99% | +0.95% | +3.71% | -0.27% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2026-07-27 | 09:25:00 | $14.88 | +0.60% | +0.24% | -1.18% | -1.44% | +0.47% | +1.68% | -0.50% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2026-07-23 | 09:25:00 | $14.22 | -1.20% | -4.54% | -4.40% | -3.62% | -4.68% | +0.21% | -0.69% | -1.65% | LOSS |
| 2026-06-15 | 09:25:00 | $15.55 | +0.06% | +1.58% | +0.45% | -1.93% | -0.58% | +2.22% | -0.84% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2026-05-28 | 09:25:00 | $14.4 | +1.77% | +1.11% | +2.29% | +3.47% | +1.70% | +4.82% | -0.24% | +0.66% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ AAL Shows Negative Expectancy
With 49.3% win rate and -0.06% average gain, AAL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AAL for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze AAL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AAL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AAL historically offers an average upside of +1.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AAL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 49.3%, AAL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AAL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AAL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.06%). This suggests AAL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.