$TNON is up +78% in after-hours on zero news and a 9M float. Across 2,411 historical instances of no-news low-float gap-ups over 30%, the setup closes red 70% of the time with a median intraday fade of -10.5%. Flip side: $RCON has ripped +43% under the exact same conditions, despite closing red on 85% of its historical gap days. History says these evening pops are liquidity events for exits, not beginnings.
$BANL -26.27% — what the base rate says
What the data showed
- $BANL -26.27% mcap $13M · float 6M shares
- $DAIC -24.98% mcap $593,330 · float 659,200 shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
- $AIOS -24.21% mcap $58M · float 195,000 shares
- $TPET -23.08% mcap $11M · float 41M shares · sector: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
- $WYFI -21.13% mcap $1.1B · float 11M shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
- $FBGL -20.51% mcap $8M · float 4M shares
- $LZB -15.75% mcap $1.7B · float 43M shares · sector: HOUSEHOLD FURNITURE
- $IPST -15.23% mcap $2M · float 967,500 shares · sector: BEVERAGES
- $IMCC -13.44% mcap $2M · float 6M shares
- $PFSA -11.06% mcap $228,059 · float 5M shares · sector: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
Run the historical odds on FILTRIX.net before chasing an unexplained evening gap. When the data says a setup fades 70% of the time, believing 'this time is different' is just charity for the house. Discipline > FOMO
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