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$BANL -26.27% — what the base rate says

$BANL -26.27% — what the base rate says

$TNON is up +78% in after-hours on zero news and a 9M float. Across 2,411 historical instances of no-news low-float gap-ups over 30%, the setup closes red 70% of the time with a median intraday fade of -10.5%. Flip side: $RCON has ripped +43% under the exact same conditions, despite closing red on 85% of its historical gap days. History says these evening pops are liquidity events for exits, not beginnings.

What the data showed

  • $BANL -26.27% CBL International Limited · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=178) mcap $13M · float 6M shares
  • $DAIC -24.98% CID HoldCo, Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $593,330 · float 659,200 shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
  • $AIOS -24.21% AIOS Tech Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $58M · float 195,000 shares
  • $TPET -23.08% Trio Petroleum Corp. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $11M · float 41M shares · sector: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
  • $WYFI -21.13% WhiteFiber, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $1.1B · float 11M shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
  • $FBGL -20.51% FBS Global Limited · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $8M · float 4M shares
  • $LZB -15.75% La-Z-Boy Incorporated · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=323) mcap $1.7B · float 43M shares · sector: HOUSEHOLD FURNITURE
  • $IPST -15.23% IP Strategy Holdings, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,301) mcap $2M · float 967,500 shares · sector: BEVERAGES
  • $IMCC -13.44% IM Cannabis Corp. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $2M · float 6M shares
  • $PFSA -11.06% Profusa, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $228,059 · float 5M shares · sector: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

Run the historical odds on FILTRIX.net before chasing an unexplained evening gap. When the data says a setup fades 70% of the time, believing 'this time is different' is just charity for the house. Discipline > FOMO

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