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Latest signal:

TPET Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 35 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-21 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (35 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Apr 18, 2023 🔗 www.trio-petroleum.com
💰 Market Cap: $10.8M 👥 Employees: 1
Trio Petroleum Corp is an oil and gas exploration and development company with operations in Monterey County, California, and Uintah County, Utah. The Company holds a working interest in the South Salinas Project and a mineral leasehold consisting of a largely contiguous land package. The South Salinas Project includes six existing idle wells and one active well (the HV-1 well). Trio LLC is a licensed operator in California and operates the South Salinas Project and the McCool Ranch Oil Field on behalf of the Company.
📊
35
Total Alerts
🎯
45.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+494.21%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+10.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 31.4%
Avg Gain: -1.84%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -3.62%
Best: +11.26%
Worst: -15.95%
Trades: 11/24

15MIN

Win Rate: 14.7%
Avg Gain: -3.51%
Avg Winner: +5.65%
Avg Loser: -5.09%
Best: +13.09%
Worst: -21.26%
Trades: 5/29

30MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -2.85%
Avg Winner: +5.94%
Avg Loser: -6.36%
Best: +12.95%
Worst: -19.11%
Trades: 10/25

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -1.97%
Avg Winner: +6.64%
Avg Loser: -8.01%
Best: +23.59%
Worst: -24.02%
Trades: 14/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: +494.21%
Avg Winner: +1092.86%
Avg Loser: -10.47%
Best: +2430.72%
Worst: -51.16%
Trades: 16/18

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.39%
Best MFE: +51.44%
Avg Time to MFE: 95 min

On average, TPET alerts reach +10.39% profit potential within 95 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.72%
Worst MAE: -36.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.72%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.55:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 35 alerts, TPET typically reaches +10.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 35
Gap Up % 45.7%
Avg Gap -0.40%
Best Gap +4.91%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How TPET compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TPET: -1.94% Sector: -0.16% -1.78%
EOD Gain
TPET: +418.01% Sector: +59.69% +358.32%
Avg MFE
TPET: +10.97% Sector: +2.88% +8.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TPET alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:25:11 $1.93 -3.11% -0.49% -1.04% +3.11% -4.66% +5.18% -4.15% -2.07% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:45 $1.67 +0.60% +2.40% +2.39% -0.60% +4.19% +6.29% -4.18% -3.59% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:40 $1.95 +0.21% -2.59% -3.33% -6.92% -18.97% +1.03% -1.03% -1.03% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:04 $2.27 +0.66% -0.88% -8.37% -11.67% -11.45% +2.64% +2.64% +1.32% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:01 $2.4 +1.25% -3.54% -5.39% -1.65% -3.75% +4.17% -9.17% -3.33% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:06 $2.49 -5.62% -5.62% -11.04% -5.22% +6.83% +30.52% -14.86% +0.40% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:26 $2.05 -1.67% -6.34% -6.83% -5.85% -3.41% +1.95% -10.24% -2.44% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:49 $1.86 -5.91% -6.45% -4.78% -4.90% -3.23% +1.61% - +1.61% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:25:46 $2.27 -1.32% -8.59% -9.65% -11.30% -13.22% +1.32% +0.88% +0.44% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:25:11 $2.08 +0.97% -3.85% -2.40% +13.46% +7.69% +51.44% -3.85% +2.40% WIN
2025-01-10 09:27:19 $1.82 +11.26% +9.89% +8.24% +8.77% +5.49% +25.82% -5.49% +3.30% WIN
2025-01-08 09:27:33 $2.04 -2.96% -11.27% -19.11% -24.02% - +27.94% -31.37% -1.96% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:28:26 $1.25 -1.17% -1.60% -6.46% -5.60% -6.40% - - -1.60% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:28:17 $1.29 -3.88% -0.89% -6.19% -14.15% -6.20% +3.10% -4.65% +3.10% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:26:42 $1.03 -0.97% +1.94% +1.94% -1.94% -2.91% +6.80% -4.84% -0.97% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:28:31 $1.35 -4.07% -13.33% -8.88% -13.26% -17.78% +1.48% -2.22% +0.74% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:28:07 $3.01 -15.95% -21.26% +12.95% +23.59% -51.16% +34.55% -36.88% -0.33% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:26:48 $0.31 -5.17% -6.35% -7.83% -9.95% -7.43% +0.20% -1.70% -0.13% LOSS
2024-07-01 09:25:24 $0.31 +0.65% -0.16% +2.97% +4.90% +1836.58% +6.24% -0.16% +0.36% WIN
2024-06-20 09:26:54 $0.29 +1.67% +0.93% +2.08% +4.66% +5.04% +8.66% -0.10% +3.42% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 45.7% Baseline on TPET

The 45.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TPET's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TPET Strategy →

Why Analyze TPET with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TPET. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TPET historically offers an average upside of +10.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TPET Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.7%, TPET shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TPET performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +494.21%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.