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$FAMI -76.97% — what the base rate says

$FAMI -76.97% — what the base rate says

A penny stock with a $1M market cap announcing an acquisition to expand its patent portfolio is the regulatory equivalent of a toddler buying a real estate agency with Monopoly money.

Yet, Universe Pharmaceuticals ($UPC) is roaring 300% premarket. On the other side of the tape, Farmmi ($FAMI) collapses 77% after pricing a $3.0M underwritten offering, reminding everyone of the dilution tax. Across 2,881 historical catalyst-driven gaps of 30% or more, these setups close in the red 65% of the time, with a median intraday return of -6.79%.

How many times does the circus have to run this exact play before we stop chasing the opening bell?

What the data showed

  • $FAMI -76.97% Farmmi, Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=865) mcap $16M · float 1M shares
  • $EVMN -28.55% Evommune, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=178) mcap $869M · float 22M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $VEEA -28.37% Veea Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $15M · float 37M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
  • $JUNS -23.54% Jupiter Neurosciences, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $11M · float 25M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $CREX -21.46% Creative Realities, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $42M · float 18M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
  • $SEPN -17.01% Septerna, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,301)
  • $ILLR -16.82% Triller Group Inc. · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $54M · float 145M shares · sector: INVESTMENT ADVICE
  • $LRMR -16.67% Larimar Therapeutics, Inc. · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $364M · float 81M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $PCLA -16.07% PicoCELA Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,301) mcap $16M · float 2M shares
  • $CAST -15.29% FreeCast, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,301) mcap $360M · float 15M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

Run the historical breakdown on FILTRIX.net to see the base rates before you chase the morning bell. Discipline > FOMO

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