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FAMI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 134 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-15

🏢 Company Profile

Farmmi, Inc.
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 15, 2018 🔗 farmmi.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.9M 👥 Employees: 42
Farmmi Inc is an investment holding company. Through its subsidiaries, it acts as a supplier of agricultural products. It is an agricultural technology enterprise focused on its supply chain platform by promoting edible mushroom products and agriculture technology. Its product offerings include tapioca, corn, red dates, shiitake mushrooms, mu er fungus, other edible fungi, and other agricultural products. Geographically, the company's products are sold in China, Southeast Asia, Japan, North America, Europe, and the Middle East under the Forasen and Farmmi brands.
📊
134
Total Alerts
🎯
73.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+106407.64%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.49%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.3%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +4.77%
Worst: -13.39%
Trades: 50/76

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.99%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +18.46%
Worst: -34.63%
Trades: 41/91

30MIN

Win Rate: 31.3%
Avg Gain: -1.25%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: -2.80%
Best: +9.70%
Worst: -33.19%
Trades: 42/90

60MIN

Win Rate: 31.6%
Avg Gain: -1.68%
Avg Winner: +2.17%
Avg Loser: -3.62%
Best: +15.27%
Worst: -36.02%
Trades: 42/87

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 73.9%
Avg Gain: +106407.64%
Avg Winner: +144027.86%
Avg Loser: -3.95%
Best: +280604.00%
Worst: -14.19%
Trades: 99/34

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.49%
Best MFE: +30.83%
Avg Time to MFE: 106 min

On average, FAMI alerts reach +4.49% profit potential within 106 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.28%
Worst MAE: -26.73%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.28%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.97:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 134 alerts, FAMI typically reaches +4.49% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 134
Gap Up % 38.8%
Avg Gap -0.23%
Best Gap +4.76%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FAMI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-15 09:28:24 $0.51 -13.39% -34.63% -33.19% -36.02% +610.73% +16.71% -26.73% +2.99% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:06 $0.33 +1.49% +0.52% +0.15% -5.01% -4.67% +5.92% -7.13% +0.06% WIN
2025-01-10 09:25:19 $0.34 +1.46% -4.98% -12.83% -9.85% +1213.52% +11.61% -13.43% +0.33% WIN
2025-01-08 09:25:53 $0.34 -1.77% -4.24% -7.88% -9.88% -5.17% -0.20% -9.88% -1.51% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:25:00 $0.31 -3.19% -4.39% -3.52% -3.52% +1061.67% - - -6.07% LOSS
2024-10-25 09:26:57 $0.43 -0.16% -1.37% -2.04% -11.74% -11.90% +4.18% -0.16% +0.02% LOSS
2024-10-24 09:25:16 $0.37 +0.43% -2.68% -5.41% +4.39% +29.73% +29.73% -6.30% +4.76% WIN
2024-10-23 09:27:26 $0.41 +3.73% +18.46% +5.55% -9.18% +1046.38% +30.83% -0.02% +0.02% WIN
2024-10-18 09:26:36 $0.37 -0.02% -0.87% +0.30% -3.74% +947.72% +0.30% -2.39% -2.39% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:26:49 $0.31 +3.23% +3.19% +0.16% +2.26% +937.03% +8.48% -2.77% - WIN
2023-03-28 09:26:00 $0.43 +2.56% - +0.26% +0.23% +0.28% +4.65% - - WIN
2023-02-27 09:25:00 $0.48 -1.29% +1.00% -1.77% -2.08% +9428.00% +1.00% -3.27% -3.27% LOSS
2023-02-23 09:25:00 $0.56 +1.68% +3.55% +2.09% -3.48% +9073.07% +3.57% -1.77% -1.55% WIN
2023-02-02 09:28:00 $0.87 -2.39% -1.37% -0.50% +6.13% +11306.16% +23.43% -3.67% - LOSS
2022-08-22 09:25:00 $1.07 -0.93% -1.87% -1.88% -3.74% +9230.84% +1.87% +1.87% -0.93% LOSS
2022-08-18 09:25:00 $1.17 -0.80% -1.71% -1.71% -0.85% -2.56% +3.41% -2.56% - LOSS
2022-08-16 09:25:00 $1.15 -0.87% -0.87% -0.87% -1.73% +9500.00% +0.87% -3.91% -0.87% LOSS
2022-08-04 09:25:00 $1.16 -0.86% -1.95% -1.73% -3.02% +9913.79% +9.48% -5.17% - LOSS
2022-08-02 09:25:00 $1.03 +0.70% - +0.97% +0.35% +2.91% +8.74% -0.97% +1.94% WIN
2022-07-27 09:25:00 $1.04 - -0.01% - +0.48% +1.92% +2.88% -1.92% +0.96% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 73.9% Baseline on FAMI

The 73.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FAMI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FAMI Strategy →

Why Analyze FAMI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FAMI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FAMI historically offers an average upside of +4.49% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FAMI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 73.9%, FAMI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FAMI performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +106407.64%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.