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$NCT -23.16% — what the base rate says

$NCT -23.16% — what the base rate says

MySize ($MYSZ) jumped 12% after hours on an acquisition-led defense technology headline. The float is just 710,000 shares, which will inevitably tempt late-night momentum chasers into clicking market orders.

Here is what historical sample size says about this exact ticker:

In 20 prior gap-up days of 5% or more, $MYSZ closed green only 10% of the time. The stock faded red in 90% of instances, delivering a mean return of -9.92% from the open.

Retail buys the defense headline. The base rate sells the liquidity.

What the data showed

  • $NCT -23.16% Intercont (Cayman · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,435) mcap $2M · float 320,000 shares
  • $FTFT -22.89% Future FinTech Group Inc. · closed red 58% · green 41% (n=1,702) mcap $23M · float 415,000 shares · sector: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
  • $ENVA -17.96% Enova International, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,108) mcap $5.6B · float 29M shares · sector: PERSONAL CREDIT INSTITUTIONS
  • $PLAY -13.11% Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=709) mcap $283M · float 34M shares · sector: RETAIL-EATING PLACES
  • $BGMS -10.87% Bio Green Med Solution, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=5,069) mcap $6M · float 4M shares · sector: WHOLESALE-DURABLE GOODS, NEC
  • $KFFB -10.40% Kentucky First Federal Bancorp · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=5,069) mcap $46M · sector: SAVINGS INSTITUTION, FEDERALLY CHARTERED
  • $KMTS -9.81% Kestra Medical Technologies, Ltd. mcap $1.3B · sector: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
  • $CTNT -9.78% Cheetah Net Supply Chain Service Inc. mcap $4M · float 3M shares · sector: WHOLESALE-MOTOR VEHICLES & MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & SUPPLIES
  • $UFG -9.31% Uni-Fuels Holdings Limited mcap $25M · float 10M shares
  • $ACRS -8.28% Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc. mcap $783M · float 122M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

Pull the historical distribution curves on FILTRIX.net before chasing after-hours press releases. Discipline > FOMO.

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