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PLAY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 19 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-07 → 2025-01-02
⚠️ Small sample size (19 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PLAY alerts reach +3.67% profit potential within 105 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.33%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.77x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, PLAY typically reaches +3.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES
How PLAY compares to 27 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PLAY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-02 | 09:26:18 | $29.52 | +0.78% | +3.10% | +3.62% | +1.98% | +2.61% | +4.03% | +0.03% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2024-12-11 | 09:25:24 | $31.58 | -0.60% | -2.15% | -0.82% | -3.18% | -6.87% | +1.36% | -3.58% | -1.84% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-05 | 09:28:44 | $38.31 | +0.34% | +0.87% | +2.24% | -0.49% | -2.98% | +2.24% | -1.85% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-12-02 | 09:28:55 | $39.35 | -1.08% | -0.70% | -0.43% | +0.76% | -0.89% | +1.35% | -1.72% | -0.41% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-20 | 09:25:52 | $37.08 | -5.72% | -8.68% | -9.33% | -9.36% | -7.63% | -5.61% | -5.61% | -6.39% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-12 | 09:25:14 | $31.7 | +0.43% | -0.85% | -1.51% | +1.26% | -0.41% | +1.55% | -2.21% | -0.38% | WIN |
| 2024-09-11 | 09:29:44 | $34.11 | -7.12% | -5.07% | -6.71% | -11.61% | -8.38% | +2.35% | +0.06% | +0.38% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-06 | 09:26:03 | $30.27 | +2.02% | +3.20% | +4.08% | +2.74% | +1.70% | +4.59% | +1.07% | +1.85% | WIN |
| 2024-08-13 | 09:25:38 | $31.97 | -4.04% | -3.52% | -3.25% | -3.16% | -0.31% | +0.34% | -4.75% | -3.85% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-14 | 09:27:02 | $44.46 | -0.65% | +0.06% | -1.80% | -1.95% | -1.55% | +0.43% | -1.01% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-07 | 09:28:00 | $36.21 | +1.82% | +1.84% | -0.64% | -1.82% | -3.04% | +2.87% | -1.20% | +0.80% | WIN |
| 2023-06-13 | 09:26:00 | $40.9 | +2.93% | +5.34% | +8.37% | +10.54% | +12.69% | +15.62% | -0.18% | - | WIN |
| 2023-06-07 | 09:25:00 | $37.0 | +3.11% | +10.27% | +13.12% | +13.43% | +7.86% | +15.59% | -0.84% | +1.57% | WIN |
| 2023-01-17 | 09:25:00 | $43.0 | +0.01% | -0.84% | -0.98% | -1.14% | -4.44% | +0.01% | -0.50% | -0.30% | WIN |
| 2023-01-12 | 09:25:00 | $41.48 | -0.30% | +0.39% | +0.54% | +1.23% | +1.42% | +1.45% | -0.30% | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-09 | 09:25:00 | $34.53 | +0.72% | +2.04% | +1.64% | +1.65% | +0.46% | +2.17% | -0.09% | +1.25% | WIN |
| 2022-06-07 | 09:25:00 | $40.0 | -0.50% | -4.62% | -4.28% | -4.05% | -2.35% | +0.57% | -0.95% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-29 | 09:25:00 | $43.72 | +1.99% | +5.79% | +6.63% | +4.69% | +13.29% | +14.36% | -1.65% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2022-02-07 | 09:25:00 | $36.47 | +1.12% | +1.73% | +2.77% | +0.71% | +3.78% | +4.52% | +0.08% | +0.85% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ PLAY Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 57.9% win rate, PLAY has -0.25% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making PLAY profitable.
🔧 Fix PLAY Risk/Reward →Why Analyze PLAY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PLAY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PLAY historically offers an average upside of +3.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PLAY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 57.9%, PLAY shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.50%) outweigh average wins (+1.39%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PLAY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.25%). This suggests PLAY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.