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$VTSI — what the base rate says

$VTSI — what the base rate says

A +480% earnings surprise is what you get when twenty-four cents is divided by a nickel.

VirTra reported $0.19 a share last night against a consensus loss of $0.05, with revenue of $7.62 million topping estimates by 78.12%. $VTSI is +31.30% before the bell on a 10 million share float.

Both percentages measure how far off the estimates were. Neither one says whether next quarter looks like this one, and the write-up doesn't say either.

If the gap survives to the open, the comparison set is cross-stock, not this ticker's own record: 122 prior before-the-open earnings days with an opening gap up of 30% or more, stocks priced $1 and up. 69% of them closed below that session's open.

#NPCE got a percentage last night too: a loss of $0.03 a share against an expected $0.06, scored as a 50% beat. Revenue was $23.1 million against a $26.9 million estimate, and it is -33.53% before the bell. The surprise figure and the direction of the tape are two separate facts.

What the data showed

  • $SST -42.50% System1, Inc. mcap $15M · float 3M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
  • $OGEN -38.93% Oragenics, Inc. mcap $2M · float 4M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $CADL -34.68% Candel Therapeutics, Inc. mcap $706M · float 64M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
  • $NPCE -33.53% NeuroPace, Inc. mcap $430M · float 11M shares · sector: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
  • $RIME -33.10% Algorhythm Holdings, Inc. mcap $2M · float 17M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
  • $PLCE -21.15% The Children's Place, Inc. mcap $4M · float 9M shares · sector: RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES
  • $AMPG -20.43% AmpliTech Group, Inc. mcap $77M · float 27M shares · sector: COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, NEC
  • $AARD -20.40% Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc. mcap $35M · float 13M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $NEXR -19.90% Nexera Technologies Ltd mcap $1M · float 2M shares
  • $NSPR -18.61% InspireMD, Inc. mcap $37M · float 78M shares · sector: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

Rebuild that comparison yourself on FILTRIX.net: earnings-day opening gaps up of 30% or more, price $1 and up, close measured against the open. Then decide how much a 480% surprise is worth at 9:30.

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