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OGEN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 44 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-05

⚠️ Small sample size (44 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jul 03, 2003 🔗 www.oragenics.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.6M 👥 Employees: 5
Oragenics Inc is engaged in the research and development of nasal delivery pharmaceutical medications in neurology and fighting infectious diseases. The company's product ONP-002 is a fully synthetic, non-naturally occurring neurosteroid, is lipophilic, and can cross the blood-brain barrier to rapidly reduce swelling, oxidative stress and inflammation while restoring proper blood flow through gene amplification. The Company operates in one reportable segment, which includes activities related to advancing the development of its concussion drug, ONP-002.
📊
44
Total Alerts
🎯
74.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+73399.61%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+8.87%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +3.74%
Avg Loser: -2.52%
Best: +11.89%
Worst: -14.91%
Trades: 18/24

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.5%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +4.25%
Avg Loser: -3.73%
Best: +38.53%
Worst: -10.36%
Trades: 17/26

30MIN

Win Rate: 28.2%
Avg Gain: -1.62%
Avg Winner: +4.25%
Avg Loser: -4.06%
Best: +21.88%
Worst: -11.40%
Trades: 11/27

60MIN

Win Rate: 17.5%
Avg Gain: -2.96%
Avg Winner: +3.46%
Avg Loser: -4.60%
Best: +7.54%
Worst: -20.26%
Trades: 7/31

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 74.4%
Avg Gain: +73399.61%
Avg Winner: +98631.94%
Avg Loser: -3.54%
Best: +200380.77%
Worst: -9.86%
Trades: 32/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.87%
Best MFE: +114.75%
Avg Time to MFE: 83 min

On average, OGEN alerts reach +8.87% profit potential within 83 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.14%
Worst MAE: -15.85%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.14%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.14:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.14x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 44 alerts, OGEN typically reaches +8.87% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 44
Gap Up % 61.4%
Avg Gap +0.21%
Best Gap +7.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How OGEN compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OGEN: +0.28% Sector: -0.32% +0.60%
EOD Gain
OGEN: +73556.43% Sector: +4480411.22% -4406854.79%
Avg MFE
OGEN: +7.18% Sector: +7.56% -0.38%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OGEN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:26:31 $0.52 +11.89% -2.90% -10.98% -6.56% +1607.36% +21.11% -2.54% +2.69% WIN
2025-01-07 09:27:35 $0.41 -1.22% -6.15% -6.10% -9.76% +2643.90% +1.22% +0.61% +0.71% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:27:36 $0.36 -0.94% -1.21% -2.44% -1.39% +3316.67% +13.89% -2.78% - LOSS
2025-01-03 09:26:54 $0.36 -2.80% -3.00% - -5.58% +2772.54% +1.92% -0.69% +0.81% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:29:40 $0.36 -0.00% -4.61% -5.38% -4.91% -2.58% +8.34% -12.26% +3.59% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:25:12 $0.4 -3.14% -8.42% -4.05% -13.86% +2692.08% +10.89% -15.84% +3.32% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:27:32 $0.38 +1.15% -4.10% -3.41% -3.38% -0.93% +3.33% -6.79% +3.33% WIN
2024-10-08 09:25:52 $0.44 +0.91% -1.27% -0.02% -0.02% +2354.55% +2.27% +1.50% +1.32% WIN
2024-08-21 09:28:54 $0.96 +4.38% +1.44% -1.89% -3.02% +2856.16% +4.38% -2.92% +0.21% WIN
2024-08-13 09:29:33 $2.28 +7.07% -4.08% -5.26% -5.57% +2834.21% +10.53% -1.75% +0.44% WIN
2024-08-12 09:29:10 $1.64 -1.83% +5.48% -9.45% -6.71% +3704.88% +29.88% -15.85% -10.98% LOSS
2024-08-08 09:26:00 $0.96 +5.48% +38.53% +21.88% -5.20% +12.50% +44.79% -1.04% +7.29% WIN
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $2.17 - - - - +5.53% +114.75% +26.73% +2.77% -
2023-01-18 09:26:00 $0.14 -2.14% -2.14% -0.35% - +186364.09% +10.29% -2.14% -0.55% LOSS
2023-01-17 09:29:00 $0.14 -1.47% -1.03% +1.62% +2.06% +187841.18% +6.62% -2.94% -1.47% LOSS
2023-01-12 09:25:00 $0.13 -0.23% +0.39% -2.71% -2.78% +176976.57% +0.54% -0.62% -0.23% LOSS
2023-01-11 09:27:00 $0.13 -0.15% -1.54% -3.46% - +172284.62% - -3.85% -3.85% LOSS
2023-01-06 09:27:00 $0.14 -2.63% -4.38% -4.31% -1.24% +182661.14% +2.19% -7.96% +1.83% LOSS
2022-12-28 09:25:00 $0.12 -14.91% -3.12% +1.94% +1.18% -9.86% +3.88% -14.91% +1.10% LOSS
2022-12-27 09:25:00 $0.13 +5.34% -0.60% -5.26% -2.33% -5.94% +6.84% -0.75% +4.21% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 74.4% Baseline on OGEN

The 74.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push OGEN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OGEN Strategy →

Why Analyze OGEN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OGEN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OGEN historically offers an average upside of +8.87% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OGEN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 74.4%, OGEN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OGEN performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +73399.61%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.