FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
← All insights

$ZURA -75.98% — what the base rate says

$ZURA -75.98% — what the base rate says

Three-quarters of a $394 million biologics company left this morning, and the paperwork is filed under Other Events. Zura Bio's 8-K today is Item 8.01, the line a company uses when none of the named items fit, and $ZURA is -75.98% at midday with an 86 million share float.

Item 8.01 is a negative space. It is not a departure, which has its own item (5.02). Not a new debt (2.03). Not a quarter (2.02). It says: something else, see exhibit. The price has read the exhibit. The feed has read the heading.

Same sector line, #IBRX is -20.90% and its reason has decimals: a loss of $0.10 a share against $0.08 expected, revenue of $48.84 million, 19.6% under the estimate and up from $32.06 million a year ago. A number you can read is a number you can argue with. A paragraph heading only tells you which arguments are off the table.

For scale, not for odds: across stocks, 1,167 prior sessions that opened down 30% or more at a dollar-plus price closed above that open 41% of the time and below it 58%, median -2.94% open to close. Zura's own history at a 5% opening gap-down is three sessions, which is a story, not a sample.

What Zura filed under Other Events is in the exhibit, and the exhibit is still unread in this feed. The midday print is not a substitute for it.

What the data showed

  • $NVDA -4.30% NVIDIA Corporation mcap $4506.8B · float 23.2B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $SOC -59.99% Sable Offshore Corp. mcap $370M · float 159M shares · sector: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
  • $PARA -29.69% Parabolic Technologies, Inc. mcap $59,666 · float 4M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $ZURA -75.98% Zura Bio Limited mcap $394M · float 86M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
  • $DVLT -5.75% Datavault AI Inc. mcap $64M · float 971M shares · sector: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
  • $IBRX -20.90% ImmunityBio, Inc. mcap $9.2B · float 401M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

FILTRIX.net carries the 30%-plus opening gap-down history across stocks; filter it by float and by price and watch whether that 41% holds or wanders.

Find Your Edge on FILTRIX →