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Filtrix Digest 2026-W45

Week of Nov 9, 2026

8 earnings names to watch; last week 38/65 graded cards hit (58%).

History through Oct 2, 2026 Base rates with sample sizes, not predictions

Week ahead Nov 9 – Nov 13

Earnings to watch

How each stock traded on its past earnings-reaction days. One dot per report, oldest first: height is the gap at the open, color is what the rest of the day did.

$CSCO Thu Nov 12 · after the close
2021-05-20: gapped -1.4%, faded2021-08-19: gapped -2.7%, faded2022-02-17: gapped +2.3%, kept going2022-05-19: gapped -11.0%, kept going2022-08-18: gapped +6.7%, faded2022-11-17: gapped +2.9%, kept going2023-02-16: gapped +6.5%, kept going2023-05-18: gapped -1.7%, faded2023-08-17: gapped +3.4%, kept going2023-11-16: gapped -11.0%, faded2024-02-15: gapped -3.5%, faded2024-05-16: gapped +0.8%, faded2024-08-15: gapped +8.7%, faded2024-11-14: gapped -0.3%, kept going2025-02-13: gapped +5.7%, faded2026-02-12: gapped -6.9%, kept going2026-05-14: gapped +15.4%, faded2026-08-13: gapped -8.0%, kept going

In 18 past reports: gapped up 9 times, down 9; kept going 8, faded 10. Filled the gap 4 of 18.

See all 18 in FILTRIX →
$AMAT Thu Nov 12 · after the close
2021-08-20: gapped +0.9%, faded2022-02-17: gapped +1.3%, faded2022-05-20: gapped -4.1%, kept going2022-08-19: gapped -1.5%, kept going2022-11-18: gapped +5.3%, faded2023-02-17: gapped +1.2%, faded2023-05-19: gapped +14.9%, faded2023-08-18: gapped -0.7%, faded2023-11-17: gapped -8.6%, faded2024-02-16: gapped +7.7%, faded2024-05-17: gapped +1.1%, faded2024-08-16: gapped +12.7%, kept going2024-11-15: gapped -9.5%, faded2025-02-14: gapped -3.3%, kept going2026-02-13: gapped +11.1%, faded2026-05-15: gapped -2.8%, faded2026-08-14: gapped -6.6%, faded

In 17 past reports: gapped up 9 times, down 8; kept going 4, faded 13. Filled the gap 7 of 17.

See all 17 in FILTRIX →
$PBR Tue Nov 10 · after the close
2021-10-29: gapped -2.2%, kept going2022-02-24: gapped +0.5%, faded2022-05-06: gapped +1.1%, kept going2022-07-29: gapped +3.9%, kept going2022-11-04: gapped +3.5%, faded2023-03-02: gapped -2.7%, kept going2023-05-12: gapped +2.0%, kept going2023-08-04: gapped -0.9%, kept going2023-11-10: gapped +0.7%, faded2024-05-14: gapped -2.9%, kept going2024-08-09: gapped +5.6%, kept going2024-11-08: gapped +0.6%, kept going2026-03-06: gapped +3.1%, kept going2026-05-12: gapped -2.3%, faded2026-08-07: gapped +1.2%, faded

In 15 past reports: gapped up 10 times, down 5; kept going 10, faded 5. Filled the gap 8 of 15.

See all 15 in FILTRIX →
$NU Thu Nov 12 · time not confirmed (usually after the close)
2022-02-23: gapped +9.7%, faded2022-05-17: gapped +10.6%, faded2022-08-16: gapped +10.7%, kept going2022-11-15: gapped +12.2%, kept going2023-02-15: gapped +1.0%, kept going2023-05-16: gapped +6.8%, faded2023-08-16: gapped +3.2%, faded2023-11-15: gapped -7.6%, faded2024-02-23: gapped -3.5%, faded2024-05-15: gapped +5.7%, kept going2024-08-14: gapped -0.2%, faded2024-11-14: gapped -8.5%, faded2026-02-26: gapped -4.4%, kept going2026-05-15: gapped -7.2%, faded2026-08-14: gapped +13.0%, faded

In 15 past reports: gapped up 9 times, down 6; kept going 5, faded 10. Filled the gap 7 of 15.

See all 15 in FILTRIX →
$OXY Mon Nov 9 · after the close
2021-08-04: gapped -1.7%, kept going2022-05-11: gapped +0.9%, kept going2022-08-03: gapped -0.6%, kept going2022-11-09: gapped -2.9%, kept going2023-02-28: gapped +1.3%, faded2023-05-10: gapped -1.2%, kept going2023-08-03: gapped -2.1%, faded2023-11-08: gapped +1.4%, kept going2024-02-15: gapped +0.3%, kept going2024-08-08: gapped +2.5%, kept going2024-11-13: gapped +0.9%, kept going2026-02-19: gapped +5.6%, kept going2026-05-06: gapped -6.4%, kept going2026-08-06: gapped +4.9%, faded

In 14 past reports: gapped up 8 times, down 6; kept going 11, faded 3. Filled the gap 5 of 14.

See all 14 in FILTRIX →
$SE Tue Nov 10 · before the open
2021-08-17: gapped +7.4%, kept going2022-03-01: gapped -9.3%, kept going2022-05-17: gapped +12.8%, kept going2022-08-16: gapped -3.3%, kept going2022-11-15: gapped +21.7%, kept going2023-03-07: gapped +7.5%, kept going2023-05-16: gapped -9.7%, kept going2023-08-15: gapped -20.7%, kept going2023-11-14: gapped -8.4%, kept going2024-03-04: gapped +9.7%, faded2024-05-14: gapped +7.1%, faded2024-08-13: gapped +17.6%, kept going2024-11-12: gapped +15.5%, faded2026-03-03: gapped -23.6%, faded2026-08-11: gapped +11.4%, kept going

In 15 past reports: gapped up 9 times, down 6; kept going 11, faded 4. Filled the gap 1 of 15.

See all 15 in FILTRIX →
$RKLB Mon Nov 9 · after the close
2021-09-09: gapped +7.8%, kept going2022-05-17: gapped -2.8%, faded2022-08-12: gapped +2.4%, kept going2022-11-10: gapped +25.5%, kept going2023-03-01: gapped -3.1%, kept going2023-05-10: gapped +5.2%, kept going2023-08-09: gapped +1.4%, faded2023-11-09: gapped +4.4%, faded2024-02-28: gapped -6.2%, faded2024-05-07: gapped -3.9%, faded2024-08-09: gapped +13.5%, kept going2024-11-13: gapped +31.2%, faded2026-02-27: gapped -7.0%, faded2026-05-08: gapped +9.5%, kept going2026-08-11: gapped -4.7%, faded

In 15 past reports: gapped up 9 times, down 6; kept going 7, faded 8. Filled the gap 7 of 15.

See all 15 in FILTRIX →
$ONON Tue Nov 10 · before the open
2022-05-17: gapped -5.7%, kept going2022-08-16: gapped +21.3%, faded2023-03-21: gapped +6.9%, kept going2023-05-16: gapped +6.7%, faded2023-08-15: gapped +13.2%, faded2023-11-14: gapped -9.3%, faded2024-03-12: gapped +3.9%, kept going2024-05-14: gapped +6.2%, kept going2024-08-13: gapped +4.6%, faded2024-11-12: gapped +30.7%, faded2026-03-03: gapped -12.2%, faded2026-05-12: gapped -5.7%, faded2026-08-11: gapped -18.5%, kept going

In 13 past reports: gapped up 8 times, down 5; kept going 5, faded 8. Filled the gap 3 of 13.

See all 13 in FILTRIX →

If-then watchlist

Last week's busiest names, as conditions. If the setup shows up again, this is how the same setup has closed before.

  1. If $ELPW runs 5%+ above yesterday's close

    closed below its open 72% of 25 times; typical day -6.4%

    -6.4%typical · n=25 Run it in FILTRIX →

  2. If $CDT drops 5%+ below yesterday's close

    closed below its open 81% of 37 times; typical day -5.2%

    -5.2%typical · n=37 Run it in FILTRIX →

  3. If $RBNE drops 5%+ below yesterday's close

    closed below its open 76% of 21 times; typical day -4.3%

    -4.3%typical · n=21 Run it in FILTRIX →

  4. If $DVLT runs 5%+ above yesterday's close

    closed below its open 68% of 34 times; typical day -2.6%

    -2.6%typical · n=34 Run it in FILTRIX →

  5. If $PLUG runs 10%+ above yesterday's close

    closed below its open 63% of 51 times; typical day -2.5%

    -2.5%typical · n=51 Run it in FILTRIX →

Scorecard Nov 2 – Nov 6

Each gap-up, gap-down, most-active, earnings and after-hours card we posted on X last week, graded on the session it described. 52-week-high, 5-day-drop, market-map and holiday cards are not graded.

38/65 58%graded cards hit

+ 4 thin cards (fewer than 8 past events): 3 hit, not in the rate.

  • after-hours gainer 2/2
  • AMC earnings 12/1963%
  • BMO earnings 12/2157%
  • most active 12/2352%
Best call
$ELPW-61.5%

most active, Thu Nov 5. Card said down (68%, n=19); post time → close.

Worst miss
$CENN+17.2%

most active, Wed Nov 4. Card said down (56%, n=25); post time → close.

All 74 cards this week
CardSessionCard saidGraded moveVerdict
$DV AMC earnings Mon Nov 2 ▼ down · n=4 -0.1% open → close Flat
$PGEN after-hours loser Mon Nov 2 ▲ up · n=2 -4.1% open → close Miss
$EL BMO earnings Mon Nov 2 ▼ down · 60% · n=15 -6.7% open → close Hit
$KOS BMO earnings Mon Nov 2 ▼ down · 62% · n=8 -3.0% open → close Hit
$TSEM BMO earnings Mon Nov 2 ▼ down · n=7 -3.5% open → close Hit
$CIFR BMO earnings Mon Nov 2 ▼ down · n=7 -6.8% open → close Hit
$AXSM BMO earnings Mon Nov 2 ▼ down · n=5 -0.8% open → close Hit
$CDT most active Mon Nov 2 ▼ down · 77% · n=26 +11.6% post time → close ref. open → close +12.7% Miss
$RIVN most active Mon Nov 2 ▲ up · 50% · n=24 -2.5% post time → close ref. open → close +3.5% Miss
$EVGO most active Mon Nov 2 ▲ up · 56% · n=23 -1.7% post time → close ref. open → close +1.6% Miss
$INO most active Mon Nov 2 ▼ down · 75% · n=12 +7.7% post time → close ref. open → close -5.0% Miss
$CLRO most active Mon Nov 2 ▲ up · 64% · n=11 -4.9% post time → close ref. open → close -15.5% Miss
$AAPL AMC earnings Tue Nov 3 ▲ up · 74% · n=19 +1.9% open → close Hit
$ROKU AMC earnings Tue Nov 3 ▼ down · 59% · n=17 +3.9% open → close Miss
$RIG AMC earnings Tue Nov 3 ▼ down · 54% · n=13 -1.7% open → close Hit
$PLTR AMC earnings Tue Nov 3 ▲ up · 54% · n=11 +4.3% open → close Hit
$MTCH AMC earnings Tue Nov 3 ▼ down · 50% · n=10 -3.7% open → close Hit
$SHOP BMO earnings Tue Nov 3 ▲ up · 53% · n=17 +4.5% open → close Hit
$PFE BMO earnings Tue Nov 3 ▲ up · 59% · n=17 -2.2% open → close Miss
$TEVA BMO earnings Tue Nov 3 ▲ up · 69% · n=16 +0.0% open → close Flat
$DT BMO earnings Tue Nov 3 ▼ down · 50% · n=14 +2.2% open → close Miss
$PHG BMO earnings Tue Nov 3 ▲ up · 83% · n=12 -1.9% open → close Miss
$IREN most active Tue Nov 3 ▲ up · 54% · n=54 +2.2% post time → close ref. open → close +8.8% Hit
$HUBC most active Tue Nov 3 ▼ down · 58% · n=47 -8.6% post time → close ref. open → close -6.1% Hit
$GRAB most active Tue Nov 3 ▼ down · 81% · n=16 -1.6% post time → close ref. open → close -3.0% Hit
$EHGO most active Tue Nov 3 ▼ down · 60% · n=10 +3.3% post time → close ref. open → close +8.2% Miss
$PARA most active Tue Nov 3 ▼ down · 89% · n=9 -28.8% post time → close ref. open → close -27.1% Hit
$CCTG after-hours gainer Wed Nov 4 ▼ down · 80% · n=10 -7.5% open → close Hit
$AMD AMC earnings Wed Nov 4 ▼ down · 56% · n=18 +0.7% open → close Miss
$CPNG AMC earnings Wed Nov 4 ▼ down · 53% · n=15 +10.6% open → close Miss
$RIOT AMC earnings Wed Nov 4 ▼ down · 79% · n=14 -1.6% open → close Hit
$ANET AMC earnings Wed Nov 4 ▼ down · 54% · n=11 -0.3% open → close Hit
$TOST AMC earnings Wed Nov 4 ▼ down · 54% · n=11 +6.9% open → close Miss
$MCD BMO earnings Wed Nov 4 ▲ up · 61% · n=18 +4.2% open → close Hit
$CVS BMO earnings Wed Nov 4 ▲ up · 78% · n=18 -6.3% open → close Miss
$DDOG BMO earnings Wed Nov 4 ▲ up · 71% · n=17 -5.5% open → close Miss
$W BMO earnings Wed Nov 4 ▲ up · 65% · n=17 +6.4% open → close Hit
$UBER BMO earnings Wed Nov 4 ▲ up · 50% · n=16 +2.3% open → close Hit
$RIOT most active Wed Nov 4 ▲ up · 61% · n=61 -0.4% post time → close ref. open → close -1.6% Miss
$PLUG most active Wed Nov 4 ▼ down · 63% · n=51 -3.0% post time → close ref. open → close -5.8% Hit
$CENN most active Wed Nov 4 ▼ down · 56% · n=25 +17.2% post time → close ref. open → close +40.1% Miss
$CIFR most active Wed Nov 4 ▲ up · 52% · n=25 +2.9% post time → close ref. open → close -7.0% Hit
$RBNE most active Wed Nov 4 ▼ down · 83% · n=12 +0.8% post time → close ref. open → close -3.5% Miss
$QCOM AMC earnings Thu Nov 5 ▲ up · 59% · n=17 +4.5% open → close Hit
$APP AMC earnings Thu Nov 5 ▲ up · 50% · n=14 +1.8% open → close Hit
$EXPE AMC earnings Thu Nov 5 ▼ down · 58% · n=12 -5.2% open → close Hit
$TS AMC earnings Thu Nov 5 ▼ down · 50% · n=12 -7.2% open → close Hit
$CDE AMC earnings Thu Nov 5 ▼ down · 50% · n=10 +0.1% open → close Flat
$TPR BMO earnings Thu Nov 5 ▼ down · 50% · n=12 -4.2% open → close Hit
$MT BMO earnings Thu Nov 5 ▲ up · 64% · n=11 -5.7% open → close Miss
$KMB BMO earnings Thu Nov 5 ▼ down · 62% · n=8 +2.0% open → close Miss
$AU BMO earnings Thu Nov 5 ▲ up · 50% · n=8 -0.9% open → close Miss
$VTRS BMO earnings Thu Nov 5 ▲ up · 50% · n=8 -2.4% open → close Miss
$CDT most active Thu Nov 5 ▼ down · 77% · n=26 -0.9% post time → close ref. open → close -10.0% Hit
$U most active Thu Nov 5 ▲ up · 60% · n=25 +2.9% post time → close ref. open → close +1.5% Hit
$IREN most active Thu Nov 5 ▲ up · 61% · n=23 -3.5% post time → close ref. open → close -12.9% Miss
$ELPW most active Thu Nov 5 ▼ down · 68% · n=19 -61.5% post time → close ref. open → close -62.7% Hit
$JDZG most active Thu Nov 5 ▼ down · 69% · n=13 +13.1% post time → close ref. open → close +12.2% Miss
$DFNS after-hours gainer Fri Nov 6 ▼ down · 62% · n=13 -8.6% open → close Hit
$ABNB AMC earnings Fri Nov 6 ▲ up · 71% · n=17 -0.6% open → close Miss
$LYFT AMC earnings Fri Nov 6 ▼ down · 59% · n=17 +2.8% open → close Miss
$NET AMC earnings Fri Nov 6 ▼ down · 62% · n=16 -6.3% open → close Hit
$AFRM AMC earnings Fri Nov 6 ▼ down · 67% · n=15 +3.1% open → close Miss
$IONQ AMC earnings Fri Nov 6 ▲ up · 53% · n=15 +16.5% open → close Hit
$MRNA BMO earnings Fri Nov 6 ▲ up · 72% · n=18 +3.6% open → close Hit
$UAA BMO earnings Fri Nov 6 ▲ up · 56% · n=18 +2.4% open → close Hit
$UA BMO earnings Fri Nov 6 ▲ up · 59% · n=17 +1.8% open → close Hit
$CGC BMO earnings Fri Nov 6 ▼ down · 67% · n=15 -4.7% open → close Hit
$CHTR BMO earnings Fri Nov 6 ▲ up · 50% · n=8 +2.0% open → close Hit
$IREN most active Fri Nov 6 ▲ up · 54% · n=54 -0.1% post time → close ref. open → close +2.3% Flat
$OPEN most active Fri Nov 6 ▼ down · 75% · n=28 -5.7% post time → close ref. open → close -22.2% Hit
$DBGI most active Fri Nov 6 ▼ down · 67% · n=27 -0.1% post time → close ref. open → close -57.5% Flat
$CENN most active Fri Nov 6 ▲ up · 52% · n=25 +1.0% post time → close ref. open → close -4.4% Hit
$DVLT most active Fri Nov 6 ▼ down · 60% · n=15 -2.9% post time → close ref. open → close -1.7% Hit

Track record since May 4, 2026: 528/982 cards hit (54%), cards with 8+ past events.

Each card tests one or two surface conditions (a gap, an earnings day, a big move) on the history of one stock. On their own, they land close to a coin flip. An edge takes more: stack filters and backtest the setup yourself.

Dig deeper in FILTRIX →

How we grade: each card is checked against the direction it stated, on the session it described. Intraday cards are graded from the price at the moment the card was posted to the close; all other cards from the open to the close. Moves under 0.2% count as flat and are not graded. Cards backed by fewer than 8 past events are counted separately and kept out of the rate. The card's setup is not re-checked after posting.

Pattern of the week

5-day drop of 20%+

When a stock priced $5 or more fell 20% or more over five days.

Times since 20198,860
Closed up50%
Closed down50%
Typical day+0.0%
  • Since 2019 this happened 8,860 times.
  • The stock closed below its open 50% of the time; the typical day was +0.0%.
  • Half of all outcomes landed between -4.3% and +4.8%.
Run it in FILTRIX →