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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AADX

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.0% at 15-min n=2 2026-06-04 → 2026-07-08

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 2 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC (SIC 3728)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 03, 2026 🔗 www.applied-ad.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.18B
Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc specializes in providing engineering and vertically integrated manufacturing solutions for space and defense technology companies. The company builds complex hardware for extreme operating environments, combining deep material science and IP-enabled process expertise with the ability to enable rapid prototyping, enhance new product development, and responsively scale production. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the sales of Defense Aviation and Airborne Systems, followed by Space and Launch Systems, C5ISR and Precision Strike Systems.
Total alerts
2
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.72%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.24%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AADX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.05%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.05%
Best: -0.80%
Worst: -3.30%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -1.88%
Best: +0.43%
Worst: -1.88%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.71%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.71%
Best: -1.65%
Worst: -1.78%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.59%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.59%
Best: -0.99%
Worst: -2.19%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.53%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.53%
Best: -5.44%
Worst: -9.62%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.24%
Best MFE: +2.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 4 min

On average, AADX alerts reach +1.24% profit potential within 4 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.70%
Worst MAE: -1.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.77:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, AADX typically reaches +1.24% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.19%
Best Gap -0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC

How AADX compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AADX: -2.05% Sector: +0.08% -2.14%
EOD Gain
AADX: -7.53% Sector: +81.13% -88.66%
Avg MFE
AADX: +1.24% Sector: +6.51% -5.27%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AADX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-07-08 09:25:00 $23.08 -0.80% +0.43% -1.65% -2.19% -9.62% +2.12% -1.30% -0.00% LOSS
2026-06-04 09:25:00 $19.67 -3.30% -1.88% -1.78% -0.99% -5.44% +0.36% -0.10% -2.39% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AADX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.72% average gain, AADX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AADX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AADX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AADX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AADX historically offers an average upside of +1.24% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AADX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, AADX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AADX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AADX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.72%). This suggests AADX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.