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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AAPD

Trade-Ideas alerts 48.1% at 15-min n=52 2023-06-30 → 2026-09-14

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 52 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 08, 2022
Total alerts
52
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
48.1%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
+0.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.13%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AAPD on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +1.11%
Worst: -2.60%
Trades: 21/28

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +2.71%
Worst: -4.52%
Trades: 25/24

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +3.65%
Worst: -4.42%
Trades: 25/26

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +3.61%
Worst: -4.18%
Trades: 24/28

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 34.6%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.57%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +4.99%
Worst: -4.57%
Trades: 18/34

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.13%
Best MFE: +6.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 87 min

On average, AAPD alerts reach +1.13% profit potential within 87 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.40%
Worst MAE: -2.08%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.84:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.84x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 52 alerts, AAPD typically reaches +1.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 52
Gap Up % 28.8%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +1.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AAPD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $10.4 +0.58% +0.87% +0.00% +0.57% +0.58% +1.06% +0.00% +0.19% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $11.01 -1.00% -1.36% -0.55% -0.91% -3.15% +0.18% -0.27% +0.00% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $10.9 +0.09% +0.46% +0.69% +1.28% +0.73% +2.06% -0.46% -0.09% WIN
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $11.22 -0.96% -0.16% -0.25% -0.07% +0.11% +0.69% -0.96% -0.25% LOSS
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $11.32 +0.00% +0.31% +0.09% +0.08% -0.35% +0.71% -0.62% +0.18% LOSS
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $11.2 +0.71% +0.94% +0.80% +0.76% -0.27% +1.52% -0.09% +0.80% WIN
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $11.4 +0.04% +1.05% -0.17% +0.35% -1.23% +1.22% -0.79% -0.09% WIN
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $10.4 +0.68% +1.30% +1.16% +1.35% +0.77% +1.83% +0.00% +0.87% WIN
2026-07-29 09:25:00 $10.32 -0.82% -0.78% -1.11% -0.63% +0.10% +0.37% -1.74% -0.39% LOSS
2026-07-28 09:25:00 $10.31 -0.68% +0.09% +0.39% +0.34% -0.39% +1.05% -1.07% -0.39% LOSS
2026-07-27 09:25:00 $10.45 -0.38% -0.43% +0.10% -0.86% -0.86% +0.29% +0.29% -0.24% LOSS
2026-07-20 09:25:00 $10.54 -0.28% +0.38% +0.93% +1.69% +1.57% +2.47% -0.47% -0.19% LOSS
2026-07-17 09:25:00 $10.5 +0.10% -0.19% +0.33% +0.71% -0.19% +1.24% -0.52% +0.29% WIN
2026-07-16 09:25:00 $10.66 +0.00% +0.05% -0.61% -0.66% -1.59% +0.33% -0.28% -0.19% LOSS
2026-07-14 09:25:00 $11.17 -0.00% -0.27% -0.27% -0.27% -0.45% +0.45% -0.27% -0.27% LOSS
2026-07-13 09:25:00 $11.05 -0.90% -1.40% -1.36% -1.13% -0.23% +0.32% -2.08% -0.05% LOSS
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $11.27 +0.35% +0.00% -0.27% -0.53% -1.86% +0.71% -0.44% -0.09% WIN
2026-07-08 09:25:00 $11.23 +0.31% +0.98% +0.89% +0.45% -0.62% +1.47% -0.09% -0.09% WIN
2026-07-07 09:25:00 $11.13 -0.13% +0.72% +0.99% +0.85% +1.17% +1.35% -0.36% -0.09% LOSS
2026-06-26 09:25:00 $12.76 -0.08% -0.47% -0.55% -0.94% -2.19% +0.16% -0.08% +0.08% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AAPD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.1% win rate and +0.00% average gain, AAPD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AAPD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AAPD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AAPD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AAPD historically offers an average upside of +1.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AAPD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.1%, AAPD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AAPD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at +0.00%). This suggests AAPD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.