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ABVE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-07-12 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Above Food Ingredients Inc. Common Stock
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 01, 2024 🔗 www.abovefood.com
💰 Market Cap: $30.4M
Above Food Ingredients Inc is a differentiated, regenerative ingredient company. Its products are made with real nutritious, flavorful ingredients and delivered with transparency. Its vision is to create a healthier world one seed, one field, and one bite at a time. With a robust chain of custody of plant proteins, enabled by scaled operations and infrastructure in primary agriculture and processing, and proprietary seed development capabilities that leverage the power of artificial intelligence driven genomics. The company delivers nutritious foods to businesses and consumers with traceability and sustainability. Above Food's consumer products and brands are available in grocers across Canada and the United States.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.10%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+13.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.04%
Avg Winner: +5.75%
Avg Loser: -3.68%
Best: +13.57%
Worst: -5.62%
Trades: 5/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -1.10%
Avg Winner: +4.07%
Avg Loser: -4.19%
Best: +8.94%
Worst: -7.96%
Trades: 3/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +5.19%
Avg Loser: -8.02%
Best: +11.91%
Worst: -12.62%
Trades: 6/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.28%
Avg Winner: +8.16%
Avg Loser: -10.71%
Best: +14.94%
Worst: -15.73%
Trades: 5/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -1.01%
Avg Winner: +8.57%
Avg Loser: -7.39%
Best: +21.49%
Worst: -15.13%
Trades: 4/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.19%
Best MFE: +37.31%
Avg Time to MFE: 152 min

On average, ABVE alerts reach +13.19% profit potential within 152 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.29%
Worst MAE: -14.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, ABVE typically reaches +13.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 60.0%
Avg Gap +0.74%
Best Gap +2.83%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ABVE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:28:30 $0.55 +2.83% -0.76% -5.29% -10.70% -3.75% +7.34% +1.03% +2.83% WIN
2025-01-31 09:27:29 $0.48 +13.57% - +9.44% +9.95% -2.95% +17.70% -0.89% -0.89% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:20 $0.64 -5.62% -7.96% -12.62% -15.73% -15.13% +2.96% -4.84% -1.72% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:26:36 $0.67 +1.49% +8.94% +11.91% +14.94% +21.49% +37.31% -4.33% -1.57% WIN
2024-11-22 09:28:55 $0.63 +3.26% +2.54% +4.77% +4.77% +2.38% +8.11% -0.65% +1.75% WIN
2024-11-21 09:29:23 $0.69 -5.54% -3.82% -8.43% -13.08% -11.03% +0.29% -2.12% - LOSS
2024-11-20 09:29:06 $0.61 -2.44% -6.34% +0.81% +2.10% +8.62% +9.66% -14.63% +2.44% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:27:36 $0.5 +7.60% - +2.82% -6.98% -8.00% +7.60% +0.02% +0.04% WIN
2024-08-09 09:28:10 $1.44 -3.47% -2.08% +1.39% +9.03% -3.47% +34.72% -7.64% +2.78% LOSS
2024-07-12 09:28:54 $2.26 -1.33% +0.71% -5.75% -7.08% +1.77% +6.19% -8.85% +1.77% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ABVE Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, ABVE has -0.10% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ABVE profitable.

🔧 Fix ABVE Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze ABVE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ABVE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ABVE historically offers an average upside of +13.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ABVE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, ABVE shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-8.02%) outweigh average wins (+5.19%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ABVE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.10%). This suggests ABVE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.