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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ABVX

Trade-Ideas alert history 5 alerts 2023-10-232024-12-13

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 5 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Abivax SA American Depositary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 20, 2023 🔗 www.abivax.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.68B 👥 Employees: 69
Abivax SA is a France-based clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing therapeutics that harness the body's natural regulatory mechanisms to stabilize the immune response in patients with chronic inflammatory diseases. The company is evaluating its drug candidate, obefazimod, in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of adults with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis. Its initial focus is on inflammatory bowel diseases, chronic conditions involving inflammation of the gastrointestinal tract, of which the two common forms are UC and CD. The Group operates in a single operating segment: R&D of pharmaceutical products in order to market them in the future.
Total alerts
5
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
60.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-1.15%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.01%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ABVX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +0.88%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.89%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +1.89%
Worst: -1.37%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.61%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +3.08%
Worst: -1.78%
Trades: 2/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -1.52%
Best: +2.51%
Worst: -2.33%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -4.81%
Best: +2.02%
Worst: -6.45%
Trades: 3/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.01%
Best MFE: +3.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 66 min

On average, ABVX alerts reach +2.01% profit potential within 66 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.33%
Worst MAE: -3.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.15x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, ABVX typically reaches +2.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.52%
Best Gap +2.52%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ABVX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-13 09:26:27 $7.6 - -0.38% -1.32% - -6.45% +1.45% +0.96% +1.45% -
2024-10-01 09:27:55 $11.33 -1.06% -0.88% -0.79% -0.71% -3.18% +0.35% -0.26% +0.35% LOSS
2024-04-02 09:29:24 $13.97 - - +3.08% +2.51% +0.50% +3.08% +0.79% +1.29% -
2024-03-27 09:26:38 $14.59 -0.21% -1.37% -1.78% -2.33% +1.37% +2.40% -3.12% +1.99% LOSS
2023-10-23 09:26:00 $7.94 +0.88% +1.89% +2.14% +1.89% +2.02% +2.77% - +2.52% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ ABVX Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, ABVX has -1.15% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making ABVX profitable.

🔧 Fix ABVX Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze ABVX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ABVX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ABVX historically offers an average upside of +2.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ABVX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, ABVX shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-4.81%) outweigh average wins (+1.30%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ABVX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -1.15%). This suggests ABVX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.