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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$AFG

Trade-Ideas alerts 100.0% at 5-min n=1 2026-05-06 → 2026-05-06

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 1 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

American Financial Group, Inc. FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE (SIC 6331)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 14, 1978 🔗 www.afginc.com
💰 Market Cap: $11.55B 👥 Employees: 8,500
American Financial Group Inc is an insurance holding company. Through its subsidiaries, it is engaged in the property and casualty insurance business, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses. The group operates through two segments: Property and Casualty Insurance, which generates maximum revenue, and Other. The Property and Casualty Insurance segment is further divided into different sub-segments, such as Property and transportation, Specialty casualty, and Specialty financial. These sub-segments offer insurance coverage for vehicles and commercial property, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses, workers' compensation insurance, risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions, trade credit insurance, and other insurance products.
Total alerts
1
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
100.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.20%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.61%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AFG on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.20%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.20%
Worst: +0.20%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.81%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.81%
Worst: +0.81%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.25%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.25%
Worst: +1.25%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.24%
Avg Winner: +1.24%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.24%
Worst: +1.24%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.47%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.47%
Worst: +0.47%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.61%
Best MFE: +1.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 38 min

On average, AFG alerts reach +1.61% profit potential within 38 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.20%
Worst MAE: -0.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.20%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.14:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.14x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, AFG typically reaches +1.61% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap -0.20%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE

How AFG compares to 28 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AFG: +0.20% Sector: -0.08% +0.28%
EOD Gain
AFG: +0.47% Sector: +36.10% -35.63%
Avg MFE
AFG: +1.61% Sector: +2.55% -0.94%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AFG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $131.63 +0.20% +0.81% +1.25% +1.24% +0.47% +1.61% -0.20% -0.20% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Same industry

Other names in this SIC with enough Trade-Ideas alert history.

BRK.B
Win Rate (5min) 59.1%
Alerts 72
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
LMND
Win Rate (30min) 54.0%
Alerts 50
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Explore the data

Beat the 100.0% Baseline on AFG

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push AFG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AFG Strategy →

Why Analyze AFG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AFG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AFG historically offers an average upside of +1.61% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AFG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, AFG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AFG performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.20%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.