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ALVO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-22 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Alvotech Ordinary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 16, 2022 🔗 www.alvotech.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.66B 👥 Employees: 1,032
Alvotech is an integrated biopharmaceutical company committed to developing and manufacturing high-quality biosimilar medicines for patients globally. its purpose is to improve the health and quality of life of patients around the world by improving access to treatments for various diseases.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.22%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.04%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -1.31%
Best: +0.52%
Worst: -2.06%
Trades: 2/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +2.78%
Worst: -0.95%
Trades: 2/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +3.09%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +3.09%
Worst: -1.27%
Trades: 1/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +2.77%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +5.10%
Worst: -1.53%
Trades: 2/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.67%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +2.94%
Worst: -1.77%
Trades: 2/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.04%
Best MFE: +9.79%
Avg Time to MFE: 61 min

On average, ALVO alerts reach +2.04% profit potential within 61 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.99%
Worst MAE: -2.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.99%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, ALVO typically reaches +2.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 14.3%
Avg Gap -0.34%
Best Gap +0.40%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ALVO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:26:07 $12.58 -1.59% -0.72% -1.27% -1.53% -1.59% -0.64% -0.64% -0.64% LOSS
2024-08-16 09:28:29 $12.6 -1.51% -0.95% - +0.44% +2.94% +3.17% -2.38% +0.40% LOSS
2023-02-28 09:25:00 $14.1 -2.06% - -1.06% -0.99% -1.77% -0.71% -2.06% -2.06% LOSS
2023-01-11 09:27:00 $12.1 - -0.41% -0.08% -0.41% -0.58% +0.08% -0.41% - -
2023-01-03 09:29:00 $10.06 -0.10% -0.10% -0.50% -0.60% -0.50% +1.09% -0.60% -0.10% LOSS
2022-12-23 09:25:00 $10.05 +0.15% +0.71% -0.50% -0.50% -0.50% +1.49% - - WIN
2022-12-22 09:25:00 $9.7 +0.52% +2.78% +3.09% +5.10% +0.41% +9.79% -0.82% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 33.3% Baseline on ALVO

The 33.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ALVO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ALVO Strategy →

Why Analyze ALVO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALVO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALVO historically offers an average upside of +2.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ALVO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, ALVO shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ALVO performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.22%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.