FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AMDD

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.2% at 30-min n=80 2026-01-05 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 80 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily AMD Bear 1X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 11, 2025
Total alerts
80
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
51.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.22%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.35%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AMDD on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +2.74%
Worst: -2.10%
Trades: 37/40

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -1.57%
Best: +3.74%
Worst: -4.34%
Trades: 36/42

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.2%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.56%
Avg Loser: -2.15%
Best: +3.93%
Worst: -4.72%
Trades: 41/38

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.48%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +4.82%
Worst: -8.22%
Trades: 33/47

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.5%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +2.53%
Avg Loser: -2.88%
Best: +7.04%
Worst: -9.45%
Trades: 34/45

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.35%
Best MFE: +8.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, AMDD alerts reach +2.35% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.12%
Worst MAE: -6.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.12%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 80 alerts, AMDD typically reaches +2.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 80
Gap Up % 52.5%
Avg Gap +0.09%
Best Gap +1.79%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMDD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $21.62 +0.56% -0.05% -0.35% -1.43% +0.32% +1.16% -1.53% +0.09% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $22.04 +0.41% +0.95% +1.81% +2.36% +2.60% +4.40% -0.70% -0.18% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $21.54 +0.65% +0.97% +0.28% +1.16% +1.28% +2.18% +0.00% +0.74% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $22.88 -0.57% -3.02% -2.10% -2.31% -4.43% +0.31% -0.79% +0.09% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $22.69 -0.22% -1.08% -1.41% -1.67% -2.69% +0.88% +0.09% -0.09% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $28.98 +0.03% +0.45% +0.17% -0.38% -1.35% +1.04% -0.90% +0.03% WIN
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $29.25 +1.57% +2.60% +3.93% +4.82% +4.54% +5.26% +0.58% +0.58% WIN
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $29.88 -0.87% -2.01% -1.81% -1.49% -0.37% +0.37% +0.27% -0.75% LOSS
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $28.78 -1.08% -1.88% -1.74% -2.71% -4.93% +0.07% -1.08% -0.31% LOSS
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $31.89 -0.47% -1.03% -4.72% -8.22% -6.43% +1.22% +1.13% +0.31% LOSS
2026-07-28 09:25:00 $31.57 -0.06% +2.73% +3.42% +4.75% +3.04% +5.32% -0.35% +0.76% LOSS
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $27.38 +0.40% -1.68% -1.79% -0.99% +1.05% +3.65% -1.83% -0.07% WIN
2026-07-22 09:25:00 $28.1 -1.11% -2.85% -3.59% -3.17% -3.81% +0.78% -0.04% +0.78% LOSS
2026-07-20 09:25:00 $29.03 +1.00% -0.52% +0.76% +0.48% +2.83% +3.03% -1.14% +0.28% WIN
2026-07-17 09:25:00 $31.14 -0.10% +3.18% +1.70% -1.73% -2.57% +4.21% -0.13% +1.16% LOSS
2026-07-16 09:25:00 $29.5 -0.58% -0.85% +0.61% +0.22% +1.80% +3.32% -1.49% +0.03% LOSS
2026-07-14 09:25:00 $2.69 -1.86% -0.55% +0.75% +1.68% +2.42% +2.61% -2.97% -1.48% LOSS
2026-07-13 09:25:00 $2.81 -0.02% +1.60% +1.06% -0.75% +0.71% +1.78% -1.42% +0.00% LOSS
2026-07-10 09:25:00 $2.78 -0.72% +0.72% -1.26% -0.72% -2.88% +0.72% -2.15% +0.00% LOSS
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $2.82 +0.00% -1.78% -3.55% -2.74% -1.77% +0.35% +0.35% +0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AMDD Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.2% win rate, AMDD has -0.22% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making AMDD profitable.

🔧 Fix AMDD Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze AMDD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMDD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMDD historically offers an average upside of +2.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMDD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.2%, AMDD shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.15%) outweigh average wins (+1.56%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AMDD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.22%). This suggests AMDD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.