Latest signal:
APE Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 243 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-23 → 2023-08-24
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, APE alerts reach +4.29% profit potential within 106 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.95%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.2x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 243 alerts, APE typically reaches +4.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical APE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-24 | 09:27:00 | $1.57 | -1.92% | -11.46% | -12.42% | -13.38% | -9.55% | +0.96% | -1.27% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-08-23 | 09:28:00 | $1.79 | +3.75% | +1.12% | +0.56% | +5.59% | -3.35% | +6.42% | -2.23% | - | WIN |
| 2023-08-22 | 09:28:00 | $2.15 | -4.19% | -8.38% | -9.30% | -12.56% | -12.56% | - | -0.93% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-21 | 09:28:00 | $2.32 | -0.43% | -2.16% | -3.88% | -4.09% | -8.62% | +1.72% | -5.59% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-08-18 | 09:25:00 | $2.2 | +0.45% | -1.14% | -1.14% | +0.41% | +3.18% | +3.18% | -2.27% | +0.45% | WIN |
| 2023-08-17 | 09:26:00 | $2.13 | -0.45% | +0.92% | +1.41% | +1.88% | +2.82% | +4.69% | -0.94% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-16 | 09:28:00 | $2.14 | +1.98% | +2.57% | +2.79% | -0.46% | -0.93% | +2.80% | - | +0.70% | WIN |
| 2023-08-15 | 09:26:00 | $2.08 | -0.24% | -2.16% | -2.16% | +0.24% | +1.44% | +6.73% | -2.88% | +0.48% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-14 | 09:28:00 | $2.06 | -3.96% | -7.77% | -5.85% | -2.43% | +0.49% | +4.61% | -10.19% | -0.97% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-10 | 09:29:00 | $1.76 | -0.58% | -1.14% | -1.70% | -1.14% | -0.57% | +0.28% | -1.70% | -1.14% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-09 | 09:29:00 | $1.75 | - | +0.57% | +0.86% | +0.57% | -1.14% | +2.29% | -1.14% | -1.14% | - |
| 2023-08-08 | 09:29:00 | $1.81 | +0.55% | +0.55% | -1.10% | +0.55% | -4.42% | +1.66% | -1.93% | -0.55% | WIN |
| 2023-08-04 | 09:25:00 | $1.8 | -0.83% | -0.28% | +0.28% | +0.28% | -0.56% | +2.22% | -1.11% | -1.11% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-03 | 09:29:00 | $1.8 | -0.02% | +0.53% | -0.56% | -0.56% | -1.11% | +1.11% | -0.56% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-08-02 | 09:25:00 | $1.79 | -1.68% | -1.12% | -1.40% | +0.84% | +1.12% | +2.79% | -2.23% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-01 | 09:29:00 | $1.82 | -0.82% | -0.60% | -0.58% | -0.27% | -1.10% | +0.55% | -1.65% | -1.10% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-31 | 09:26:00 | $1.8 | - | +0.56% | +1.12% | +1.67% | +2.78% | +3.89% | -0.56% | - | - |
| 2023-07-28 | 09:27:00 | $1.85 | -0.27% | +0.84% | -0.97% | -0.22% | -2.70% | +1.08% | -0.54% | -0.54% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-27 | 09:27:00 | $1.76 | +0.03% | +1.14% | +1.42% | +2.56% | +5.68% | +6.25% | -1.14% | - | WIN |
| 2023-07-26 | 09:28:00 | $1.82 | -0.82% | -1.37% | -2.20% | -1.65% | -3.30% | +0.55% | -2.20% | -1.10% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ APE Shows Negative Expectancy
With 42.0% win rate and -0.66% average gain, APE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider APE for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze APE with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for APE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, APE historically offers an average upside of +4.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 APE Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 42.0%, APE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests APE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: APE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.66%). This suggests APE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.