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AQMS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2023-07-20

⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 2015 🔗 www.aquametals.com
💰 Market Cap: $15.0M 👥 Employees: 11
Aqua Metals Inc is engaged in the business of recycling Lead through a novel, proprietary and patent-pending process that it developed and named AquaRefining. The company's breakthrough, AquaRefining, delivers a product, at a higher yield, eliminates toxic waste, reduces permitting, and is less expensive to build than smelting. AquaRefining process will provide for the recycling of Lead acid batteries and the production of a pure grade Lead with a significantly lower cost of production, and with fewer environmental and regulatory issues, than conventional methods of Lead production.
📊
13
Total Alerts
🎯
92.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+10579.56%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+10.43%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +2.37%
Avg Loser: -3.55%
Best: +6.72%
Worst: -11.45%
Trades: 7/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +1.21%
Avg Winner: +5.73%
Avg Loser: -4.88%
Best: +12.58%
Worst: -10.38%
Trades: 7/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 61.5%
Avg Gain: +0.88%
Avg Winner: +4.07%
Avg Loser: -5.29%
Best: +9.73%
Worst: -8.93%
Trades: 8/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.69%
Avg Winner: +4.77%
Avg Loser: -4.06%
Best: +15.97%
Worst: -7.74%
Trades: 7/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 92.3%
Avg Gain: +10579.56%
Avg Winner: +11461.37%
Avg Loser: -2.11%
Best: +22175.26%
Worst: -2.11%
Trades: 12/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.43%
Best MFE: +24.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 139 min

On average, AQMS alerts reach +10.43% profit potential within 139 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.63%
Worst MAE: -6.80%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, AQMS typically reaches +10.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 30.8%
Avg Gap -0.64%
Best Gap +3.36%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SECONDARY SMELTING & REFINING OF NONFERROUS METALS

How AQMS compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AQMS: -0.36% Sector: -0.27% -0.09%
EOD Gain
AQMS: +10579.56% Sector: +8089.36% +2490.20%
Avg MFE
AQMS: +10.43% Sector: +8.51% +1.91%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AQMS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-07-20 09:27:00 $1.42 +2.11% +4.23% +0.81% -2.82% -2.11% +5.63% -0.70% -0.70% WIN
2023-07-19 09:25:00 $1.19 +6.72% +12.58% +7.56% +15.97% +24.37% +24.37% -0.84% +3.36% WIN
2023-04-17 09:27:00 $1.17 -2.56% - - -0.85% +20070.94% +1.71% -2.56% - LOSS
2023-01-24 09:28:00 $1.36 +0.91% +2.90% +2.21% +0.74% +1.47% +5.88% - +0.74% WIN
2022-12-29 09:25:00 $0.88 -4.53% -1.13% +4.56% +5.13% +22175.26% +22.74% -6.80% -3.40% LOSS
2022-12-22 09:25:00 $0.69 -11.45% -10.38% -8.93% -7.74% +18229.00% +1.19% - -6.61% LOSS
2022-07-08 09:25:00 $0.75 +1.33% +1.33% +1.01% +1.33% +5.03% +8.00% -1.33% - WIN
2022-03-22 09:25:00 $1.62 -0.01% -7.01% -4.99% -6.20% +17924.69% +1.23% - - LOSS
2022-03-11 09:25:00 $1.26 +0.77% +2.38% +2.38% +2.38% +6.35% +17.46% -2.38% - WIN
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $1.07 -1.87% -1.87% -1.86% -1.40% +21769.16% +10.28% -2.79% +0.93% LOSS
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $1.13 +2.21% +10.62% +9.73% +4.42% +18307.08% +18.58% -0.89% - WIN
2022-03-01 09:25:00 $1.12 -0.85% -4.02% -5.38% -5.36% +19007.14% +0.89% +0.89% +0.89% LOSS
2022-01-24 09:25:00 $0.78 +2.55% +6.04% +4.32% +3.40% +15.96% +17.55% -3.81% -3.55% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 92.3% Baseline on AQMS

The 92.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AQMS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AQMS Strategy →

Why Analyze AQMS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AQMS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AQMS historically offers an average upside of +10.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AQMS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 92.3%, AQMS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AQMS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +10579.56%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.